The Dow Jones Industrial Average endured heightened volatility in March 2026, closing at 46,341.51 on March 31 after a 1,100-point rally that day capped a turbulent month marked by a roughly 5% decline from early highs near 47,700. Escalating Middle East tensions, particularly the Iran conflict, drove oil prices higher, creating an energy shock that fueled inflation fears and prompted the Federal Open Market Committee to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% on March 18, with Chair Powell highlighting persistent price pressures. This triggered sharp selloffs, including a 793-point drop to 45,167 on March 27, reflecting trader consensus on geopolitical risks outweighing resilient corporate earnings amid rising Treasury yields. Polymarket odds captured this uncertainty, with sentiment shifting on quarter-end rebalancing and de-escalation hopes; upcoming April nonfarm payrolls and JOLTS data will shape forward rate path expectations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$43,355 Vol.
1 avr. 2026
↑ 49 800
Non
↑ 48 300
Non
↑ 47100
Oui
↑ 45 900
Oui
↑ 45 000
Oui
↑ 44400
Oui
↑ 43800
Oui
↓ 43 200
Non
↓ 42600
Non
↓ 42000
Non
↓ 41100
Non
↓ 40200
Non
↓ 39000
No
↓ 37500
No
$43,355 Vol.
↑ 49 800
$792 Vol.
Non
↑ 48 300
$21,579 Vol.
Non
↑ 47100
$0 Vol.
Oui
↑ 45 900
$0 Vol.
Oui
↑ 45 000
$0 Vol.
Oui
↑ 44400
$0 Vol.
Oui
↑ 43800
$0 Vol.
Oui
↓ 43 200
$4,689 Vol.
Non
↓ 42600
$2,980 Vol.
Non
↓ 42000
$2,250 Vol.
Non
↓ 41100
$3,092 Vol.
Non
↓ 40200
$3,866 Vol.
Non
↓ 39000
$2,343 Vol.
No
↓ 37500
$1,764 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Dow Jones (DJIA) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Dow Jones (DJIA).
Note: Dow Jones (DJI) is represented by ^DJI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Dow Jones (DJIA) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Dow Jones (DJIA).
Note: Dow Jones (DJI) is represented by ^DJI on Yahoo Finance.The Dow Jones Industrial Average endured heightened volatility in March 2026, closing at 46,341.51 on March 31 after a 1,100-point rally that day capped a turbulent month marked by a roughly 5% decline from early highs near 47,700. Escalating Middle East tensions, particularly the Iran conflict, drove oil prices higher, creating an energy shock that fueled inflation fears and prompted the Federal Open Market Committee to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% on March 18, with Chair Powell highlighting persistent price pressures. This triggered sharp selloffs, including a 793-point drop to 45,167 on March 27, reflecting trader consensus on geopolitical risks outweighing resilient corporate earnings amid rising Treasury yields. Polymarket odds captured this uncertainty, with sentiment shifting on quarter-end rebalancing and de-escalation hopes; upcoming April nonfarm payrolls and JOLTS data will shape forward rate path expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Dow Jones (DJIA) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Dow Jones (DJIA).
Note: Dow Jones (DJI) is represented by ^DJI on Yahoo Finance.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Dow Jones (DJIA).
Note: Dow Jones (DJI) is represented by ^DJI on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$43,355Date de fin
1 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DJIA/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Dow Jones (DJIA) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Dow Jones (DJIA).
Note: Dow Jones (DJI) is represented by ^DJI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Dow Jones (DJIA) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Dow Jones (DJIA).
Note: Dow Jones (DJI) is represented by ^DJI on Yahoo Finance.The Dow Jones Industrial Average endured heightened volatility in March 2026, closing at 46,341.51 on March 31 after a 1,100-point rally that day capped a turbulent month marked by a roughly 5% decline from early highs near 47,700. Escalating Middle East tensions, particularly the Iran conflict, drove oil prices higher, creating an energy shock that fueled inflation fears and prompted the Federal Open Market Committee to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% on March 18, with Chair Powell highlighting persistent price pressures. This triggered sharp selloffs, including a 793-point drop to 45,167 on March 27, reflecting trader consensus on geopolitical risks outweighing resilient corporate earnings amid rising Treasury yields. Polymarket odds captured this uncertainty, with sentiment shifting on quarter-end rebalancing and de-escalation hopes; upcoming April nonfarm payrolls and JOLTS data will shape forward rate path expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Dow Jones (DJIA) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Dow Jones (DJIA).
Note: Dow Jones (DJI) is represented by ^DJI on Yahoo Finance.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Dow Jones (DJIA).
Note: Dow Jones (DJI) is represented by ^DJI on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$43,355Date de fin
1 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DJIA/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The Dow Jones Industrial Average endured heightened volatility in March 2026, closing at 46,341.51 on March 31 after a 1,100-point rally that day capped a turbulent month marked by a roughly 5% decline from early highs near 47,700. Escalating Middle East tensions, particularly the Iran conflict, drove oil prices higher, creating an energy shock that fueled inflation fears and prompted the Federal Open Market Committee to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% on March 18, with Chair Powell highlighting persistent price pressures. This triggered sharp selloffs, including a 793-point drop to 45,167 on March 27, reflecting trader consensus on geopolitical risks outweighing resilient corporate earnings amid rising Treasury yields. Polymarket odds captured this uncertainty, with sentiment shifting on quarter-end rebalancing and de-escalation hopes; upcoming April nonfarm payrolls and JOLTS data will shape forward rate path expectations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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