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Finance·Indique

Qu'est-ce que le Nasdaq 100 (NDX) frappera d'ici la fin décembre ?

Market icon
Finance·Indique

Qu'est-ce que le Nasdaq 100 (NDX) frappera d'ici la fin décembre ?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$19,551 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$19,551 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 45 000 $

$0 Vol.

44%

↑ 39 000 $

$0 Vol.

44%

↑ 35 000 $

$512 Vol.

46%

↑ 32 000 $

$0 Vol.

13%

↑ 30 000 $

$0 Vol.

25%

↑ 28 500 $

$0 Vol.

39%

↓ 23 000 $

$0 Vol.

62%

↓ 21 000 $

$0 Vol.

54%

↓ 18 000 $

$0 Vol.

35%

↓ 15 000 $

$0 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.The Nasdaq 100 has advanced over 28% year-to-date as of late December 2024, driven primarily by surging AI demand fueling outsized revenue growth at megacap tech leaders like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Amazon, alongside a Federal Reserve pivot to easing. The FOMC's December 18 rate cut of 25 basis points to 4.25%-4.50%, coupled with projections for two additional cuts in 2025, has lowered Treasury yields and supported elevated valuations (forward P/E around 28x). Recent softer November CPI (core 2.7% annualized) and stable jobless claims reinforced disinflation trends, though traders remain vigilant for year-end tax-loss selling, window dressing, and light data releases through December 31 that could sway positioning amid stretched multiples and geopolitical uncertainties.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.
Volume
$19,551
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 6, 2026, 9:39 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.The Nasdaq 100 has advanced over 28% year-to-date as of late December 2024, driven primarily by surging AI demand fueling outsized revenue growth at megacap tech leaders like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Amazon, alongside a Federal Reserve pivot to easing. The FOMC's December 18 rate cut of 25 basis points to 4.25%-4.50%, coupled with projections for two additional cuts in 2025, has lowered Treasury yields and supported elevated valuations (forward P/E around 28x). Recent softer November CPI (core 2.7% annualized) and stable jobless claims reinforced disinflation trends, though traders remain vigilant for year-end tax-loss selling, window dressing, and light data releases through December 31 that could sway positioning amid stretched multiples and geopolitical uncertainties.

The Nasdaq 100 has advanced over 28% year-to-date as of late December 2024, driven primarily by surging AI demand fueling outsized revenue growth at megacap tech leaders like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Amazon, alongside a Federal Reserve pivot to easing. The FOMC's December 18 rate cut of 25 basis points to 4.25%-4.50%, coupled with projections for two additional cuts in 2025, has lowered Treasury yields and supported elevated valuations (forward P/E around 28x). Recent softer November CPI (core 2.7% annualized) and stable jobless claims reinforced disinflation trends, though traders remain vigilant for year-end tax-loss selling, window dressing, and light data releases through December 31 that could sway positioning amid stretched multiples and geopolitical uncertainties.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Qu'est-ce que le Nasdaq 100 (NDX) frappera d'ici la fin décembre ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « ↓ 25 000 $ » à 100%, suivi de « ↓ 24 000 $ » à 100%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Qu'est-ce que le Nasdaq 100 (NDX) frappera d'ici la fin décembre ? » a généré $19.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 7, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Qu'est-ce que le Nasdaq 100 (NDX) frappera d'ici la fin décembre ? », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qu'est-ce que le Nasdaq 100 (NDX) frappera d'ici la fin décembre ? » est « ↓ 25 000 $ » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « ↓ 24 000 $ » à 100%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qu'est-ce que le Nasdaq 100 (NDX) frappera d'ici la fin décembre ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.