Que se passera-t-il avant GTA VI ?
Que se passera-t-il avant GTA VI ?
$18,801,675 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
Drake sort Iceman
92%
GPT-6 sorti
61%
Cesse-feu Russie-Ukraine
56%
Nouvel album de Rihanna
53%
Trump out as President
53%
China invades Taiwan
52%
Nouvel album de Playboi Carti
51%
Bitcoin atteint 1 million de dollars
49%
Jésus-Christ revient
49%
$18,801,675 Vol.
Drake sort Iceman
$67,047 Vol.
92%
GPT-6 sorti
$605,661 Vol.
61%
Cesse-feu Russie-Ukraine
$1,366,166 Vol.
56%
Nouvel album de Rihanna
$646,435 Vol.
53%
Trump out as President
$532,557 Vol.
53%
China invades Taiwan
$1,461,922 Vol.
52%
Nouvel album de Playboi Carti
$680,589 Vol.
51%
Bitcoin atteint 1 million de dollars
$3,516,434 Vol.
49%
Jésus-Christ revient
$9,924,905 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
An announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for China invading Taiwan will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
An announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for China invading Taiwan will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be use
If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
An announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for China invading Taiwan will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be use
Marché ouvert : May 2, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$18,801,675Date de fin
Jul 31, 2026Marché ouvert
May 2, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
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