Tesla's post-election stock surge, up over 60% YTD to around $340, has driven Polymarket trader consensus toward higher March 2026 price targets, with implied probabilities exceeding 50% for levels above $400 amid bets on regulatory easing for Full Self-Driving under a Trump administration. Q3 deliveries hit a record 463,000 vehicles per company filings, but gross margins compressed to 19.8% from pricing pressure and competition. Upcoming Q4 earnings on January 29, 2025, will scrutinize Cybertruck ramp-up and Robotaxi timelines, while persistent high interest rates threaten EV demand growth. Valuation multiples at 100x forward earnings signal stretched sentiment vulnerable to delivery misses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourQu'est-ce que Tesla (TSLA) frappera en mars 2026 ?
Qu'est-ce que Tesla (TSLA) frappera en mars 2026 ?
$236,465 Vol.
↑ 570 $
<1%
↑ 533 $
1%
↑ 503 $
1%
↑ 473 $
4%
↑ 450 $
7%
↑ 435 $
7%
↑ 420 $
15%
↓ 353 $
30%
↓ 330 $
13%
↓ 300 $
2%
↓ 263 $
<1%
$236,465 Vol.
↑ 570 $
<1%
↑ 533 $
1%
↑ 503 $
1%
↑ 473 $
4%
↑ 450 $
7%
↑ 435 $
7%
↑ 420 $
15%
↓ 353 $
30%
↓ 330 $
13%
↓ 300 $
2%
↓ 263 $
<1%
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Feb 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla's post-election stock surge, up over 60% YTD to around $340, has driven Polymarket trader consensus toward higher March 2026 price targets, with implied probabilities exceeding 50% for levels above $400 amid bets on regulatory easing for Full Self-Driving under a Trump administration. Q3 deliveries hit a record 463,000 vehicles per company filings, but gross margins compressed to 19.8% from pricing pressure and competition. Upcoming Q4 earnings on January 29, 2025, will scrutinize Cybertruck ramp-up and Robotaxi timelines, while persistent high interest rates threaten EV demand growth. Valuation multiples at 100x forward earnings signal stretched sentiment vulnerable to delivery misses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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