US and allied forces, including the UK, have conducted periodic airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen since January 2024 to counter attacks on Red Sea shipping and Israel-linked vessels, with the most recent US strikes on October 16 targeting Houthi radar sites amid ongoing ballistic missile launches toward Israel. Houthi militants, backed by Iran, claimed responsibility for a missile barrage on October 1 that was intercepted by Israeli defenses, heightening escalation risks. Diplomatic efforts for a Gaza ceasefire remain stalled, sustaining Houthi rhetoric tying actions to Palestinian support. Traders weigh US restraint under Biden administration policy against potential Israeli retaliation, with no confirmed Israeli strikes on Yemen since July's port attack; upcoming US election and regional summits could influence de-escalation or further military action before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$204,012 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
31 mars
14%
$204,012 Vol.
31 mars
$204,012 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.US and allied forces, including the UK, have conducted periodic airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen since January 2024 to counter attacks on Red Sea shipping and Israel-linked vessels, with the most recent US strikes on October 16 targeting Houthi radar sites amid ongoing ballistic missile launches toward Israel. Houthi militants, backed by Iran, claimed responsibility for a missile barrage on October 1 that was intercepted by Israeli defenses, heightening escalation risks. Diplomatic efforts for a Gaza ceasefire remain stalled, sustaining Houthi rhetoric tying actions to Palestinian support. Traders weigh US restraint under Biden administration policy against potential Israeli retaliation, with no confirmed Israeli strikes on Yemen since July's port attack; upcoming US election and regional summits could influence de-escalation or further military action before market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Marché ouvert : Feb 28, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
Volume
$204,012Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 28, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.US and allied forces, including the UK, have conducted periodic airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen since January 2024 to counter attacks on Red Sea shipping and Israel-linked vessels, with the most recent US strikes on October 16 targeting Houthi radar sites amid ongoing ballistic missile launches toward Israel. Houthi militants, backed by Iran, claimed responsibility for a missile barrage on October 1 that was intercepted by Israeli defenses, heightening escalation risks. Diplomatic efforts for a Gaza ceasefire remain stalled, sustaining Houthi rhetoric tying actions to Palestinian support. Traders weigh US restraint under Biden administration policy against potential Israeli retaliation, with no confirmed Israeli strikes on Yemen since July's port attack; upcoming US election and regional summits could influence de-escalation or further military action before market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$204,012Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 28, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and allied forces, including the UK, have conducted periodic airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen since January 2024 to counter attacks on Red Sea shipping and Israel-linked vessels, with the most recent US strikes on October 16 targeting Houthi radar sites amid ongoing ballistic missile launches toward Israel. Houthi militants, backed by Iran, claimed responsibility for a missile barrage on October 1 that was intercepted by Israeli defenses, heightening escalation risks. Diplomatic efforts for a Gaza ceasefire remain stalled, sustaining Houthi rhetoric tying actions to Palestinian support. Traders weigh US restraint under Biden administration policy against potential Israeli retaliation, with no confirmed Israeli strikes on Yemen since July's port attack; upcoming US election and regional summits could influence de-escalation or further military action before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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