US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 40%
January 2026 10%
February 1 7.7%
February 14 4.0%
$754,670 Vol.
$754,670 Vol.
January 2026
$40,960 Vol.
10%
January 2026
$40,960 Vol.
10%
February 1
$48,661 Vol.
8%
February 1
$48,661 Vol.
8%
February 2
$23,682 Vol.
3%
February 2
$23,682 Vol.
3%
February 3
$25,464 Vol.
2%
February 3
$25,464 Vol.
2%
February 4
$29,166 Vol.
1%
February 4
$29,166 Vol.
1%
February 5
$25,612 Vol.
1%
February 5
$25,612 Vol.
1%
February 6
$37,167 Vol.
4%
February 6
$37,167 Vol.
4%
February 7
$22,029 Vol.
4%
February 7
$22,029 Vol.
4%
February 8
$22,343 Vol.
2%
February 8
$22,343 Vol.
2%
February 9
$22,394 Vol.
1%
February 9
$22,394 Vol.
1%
February 10
$20,510 Vol.
1%
February 10
$20,510 Vol.
1%
February 11
$18,962 Vol.
1%
February 11
$18,962 Vol.
1%
February 12
$22,926 Vol.
2%
February 12
$22,926 Vol.
2%
February 13
$22,030 Vol.
2%
February 13
$22,030 Vol.
2%
February 14
$23,814 Vol.
4%
February 14
$23,814 Vol.
4%
February 15
$23,521 Vol.
2%
February 15
$23,521 Vol.
2%
February 16
$20,741 Vol.
1%
February 16
$20,741 Vol.
1%
February 17
$21,078 Vol.
1%
February 17
$21,078 Vol.
1%
February 18
$21,412 Vol.
1%
February 18
$21,412 Vol.
1%
February 19
$17,694 Vol.
1%
February 19
$17,694 Vol.
1%
February 20
$20,253 Vol.
1%
February 20
$20,253 Vol.
1%
February 21
$20,943 Vol.
2%
February 21
$20,943 Vol.
2%
February 22
$23,027 Vol.
2%
February 22
$23,027 Vol.
2%
February 23
$20,266 Vol.
1%
February 23
$20,266 Vol.
1%
February 24
$22,743 Vol.
1%
February 24
$22,743 Vol.
1%
February 25
$27,808 Vol.
1%
February 25
$27,808 Vol.
1%
February 26
$25,400 Vol.
2%
February 26
$25,400 Vol.
2%
February 27
$28,777 Vol.
2%
February 27
$28,777 Vol.
2%
February 28
$20,672 Vol.
2%
February 28
$20,672 Vol.
2%
No strike by February 28
$34,616 Vol.
40%
No strike by February 28
$34,616 Vol.
40%
Règles
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by February 28," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Créé le : Jan 27, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 40%
January 2026 10%
February 1 7.7%
February 14 4.0%
$754,670 Vol.
$754,670 Vol.
January 2026
10%
February 1
8%
February 2
3%
February 3
2%
February 4
1%
February 5
1%
February 6
4%
February 7
4%
February 8
2%
February 9
1%
February 10
1%
February 11
1%
February 12
2%
February 13
2%
February 14
4%
February 15
2%
February 16
1%
February 17
1%
February 18
1%
February 19
1%
February 20
1%
February 21
2%
February 22
2%
February 23
1%
February 24
1%
February 25
1%
February 26
2%
February 27
2%
February 28
2%
No strike by February 28
40%
À propos
Resolver
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