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South Korea Presidential Election Margin of Victory

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South Korea Presidential Election Margin of Victory

Jae-myung by 8–11% 100.0%

Jae-myung by >23% <1%

Jae-myung by 20–23% <1%

Jae-myung by 17–20% <1%

Polymarket

$3,817,287 Vol.

Jae-myung by 8–11% 100.0%

Jae-myung by >23% <1%

Jae-myung by 20–23% <1%

Jae-myung by 17–20% <1%

Polymarket

$3,817,287 Vol.

Jae-myung by >23%

$130,225 Vol.

No

Jae-myung by 20–23%

$200,116 Vol.

No

Jae-myung by 17–20%

$265,399 Vol.

No

Jae-myung by 14–17%

$204,101 Vol.

No

Jae-myung by 11–14%

$421,154 Vol.

No

Jae-myung by 8–11%

$895,759 Vol.

Yes

Jae-myung by 5-8%

$905,151 Vol.

No

Jae-myung by <5%

$608,585 Vol.

No

Other

$186,798 Vol.

No

South Korean presidential elections are scheduled to occur on June 3, 2025, following the impeachment of Yoon Suk Yeol.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 South Korean Presidential Election.

For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in South Korean Presidential Election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the official vote count published by the National Election Commission of South Korea (https://www.nec.go.kr/engvote/main.jsp).
Volume
$3,817,287
Date de fin
Jun 3, 2025
Marché ouvert
May 20, 2025, 3:38 PM ET
South Korean presidential elections are scheduled to occur on June 3, 2025, following the impeachment of Yoon Suk Yeol. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 South Korean Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in South Korean Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the official vote count published by the National Election Commission of South Korea (https://www.nec.go.kr/engvote/main.jsp).

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"South Korea Presidential Election Margin of Victory" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jae-myung by 8–11%" at 100%, followed by "Jae-myung by >23%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "South Korea Presidential Election Margin of Victory" has generated $3.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "South Korea Presidential Election Margin of Victory," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "South Korea Presidential Election Margin of Victory" is "Jae-myung by 8–11%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jae-myung by >23%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "South Korea Presidential Election Margin of Victory" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.