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Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028

Market icon

Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028

J.D. Vance 41.6%

Marco Rubio 15.8%

Ron DeSantis 3.4%

Donald Trump 2.1%

Polymarket

$363,386,522 Vol.

J.D. Vance 41.6%

Marco Rubio 15.8%

Ron DeSantis 3.4%

Donald Trump 2.1%

Polymarket

$363,386,522 Vol.

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J.D. Vance

$4,956,116 Vol.

42%

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Marco Rubio

$4,889,624 Vol.

16%

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Ron DeSantis

$4,447,131 Vol.

3%

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Donald Trump

$4,998,102 Vol.

2%

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Thomas Massie

$1,778,176 Vol.

2%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$3,669,975 Vol.

2%

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Elon Musk

$19,267,969 Vol.

2%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$7,757,997 Vol.

2%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$19,442,921 Vol.

2%

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Ivanka Trump

$3,742,175 Vol.

2%

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Ted Cruz

$7,320,447 Vol.

2%

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Glenn Youngkin

$4,130,527 Vol.

2%

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Tucker Carlson

$2,996,600 Vol.

2%

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Tom Brady

$22,317,591 Vol.

2%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$10,738,465 Vol.

1%

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Brian Kemp

$7,864,471 Vol.

1%

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Rand Paul

$14,033,571 Vol.

1%

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Matt Gaetz

$13,486,937 Vol.

1%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$2,657,063 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$4,942,412 Vol.

1%

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Titre d'élément de groupe: Josh Hawley

$11,602,823 Vol.

1%

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Titre d'élément de groupe: Greg Abbott

$14,595,802 Vol.

1%

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Byron Donalds

$15,811,394 Vol.

1%

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Katie Britt

$20,343,679 Vol.

1%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$9,185,564 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$18,335,018 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$1,730,774 Vol.

1%

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Kristi Noem

$21,281,888 Vol.

1%

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Erika Kirk

$6,118,943 Vol.

1%

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John Thune

$23,606,993 Vol.

1%

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Steve Bannon

$11,056,893 Vol.

1%

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Élise Stefanik

$17,576,625 Vol.

1%

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Mike Pence

$26,701,857 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$363,386,522
Date de fin
Nov 7, 2028
Marché ouvert
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 33 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 42%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028" has generated $363.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028," browse the 33 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028" is "J.D. Vance" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.