OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing, 2025 restructuring into a public benefit corporation, and recent statements from CEO Sam Altman prioritizing a 2027 listing at up to $1 trillion valuation drive the 96.3% market-implied odds against acquisition before 2027. Trader consensus reflects the company’s independent trajectory, ongoing small acquisitions to bolster Codex and enterprise tools, amended Microsoft partnership that preserves autonomy while extending IP licenses through 2032, and frontier large language model leadership at a $730 billion-plus private valuation. While regulatory shifts, sudden valuation pressures, or unforeseen partnership changes could theoretically reopen sale discussions, the compressed timeline and established path to public markets make such outcomes remote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
4% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
4% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing, 2025 restructuring into a public benefit corporation, and recent statements from CEO Sam Altman prioritizing a 2027 listing at up to $1 trillion valuation drive the 96.3% market-implied odds against acquisition before 2027. Trader consensus reflects the company’s independent trajectory, ongoing small acquisitions to bolster Codex and enterprise tools, amended Microsoft partnership that preserves autonomy while extending IP licenses through 2032, and frontier large language model leadership at a $730 billion-plus private valuation. While regulatory shifts, sudden valuation pressures, or unforeseen partnership changes could theoretically reopen sale discussions, the compressed timeline and established path to public markets make such outcomes remote.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ET
Volume
$4,886Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing, 2025 restructuring into a public benefit corporation, and recent statements from CEO Sam Altman prioritizing a 2027 listing at up to $1 trillion valuation drive the 96.3% market-implied odds against acquisition before 2027. Trader consensus reflects the company’s independent trajectory, ongoing small acquisitions to bolster Codex and enterprise tools, amended Microsoft partnership that preserves autonomy while extending IP licenses through 2032, and frontier large language model leadership at a $730 billion-plus private valuation. While regulatory shifts, sudden valuation pressures, or unforeseen partnership changes could theoretically reopen sale discussions, the compressed timeline and established path to public markets make such outcomes remote.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$4,886Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing, 2025 restructuring into a public benefit corporation, and recent statements from CEO Sam Altman prioritizing a 2027 listing at up to $1 trillion valuation drive the 96.3% market-implied odds against acquisition before 2027. Trader consensus reflects the company’s independent trajectory, ongoing small acquisitions to bolster Codex and enterprise tools, amended Microsoft partnership that preserves autonomy while extending IP licenses through 2032, and frontier large language model leadership at a $730 billion-plus private valuation. While regulatory shifts, sudden valuation pressures, or unforeseen partnership changes could theoretically reopen sale discussions, the compressed timeline and established path to public markets make such outcomes remote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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