Polymarket traders price a 62% implied probability for NVIDIA (NVDA) to close above $150 by March 31, driven primarily by robust AI chip demand and hyperscaler capital expenditure commitments from Meta, Microsoft, and Alphabet totaling over $200 billion annually. NVDA shares trade near $138 following a 170% YTD surge, buoyed by Blackwell GPU ramp-up, though high 45x forward P/E tempers enthusiasm amid U.S.-China export curbs. Key upcoming catalysts include February 26 Q4 earnings—consensus eyes 80% revenue growth—and March Fed meeting rate outlook, with historical post-earnings pops averaging 12% favoring upside. Trader capital reflects optimism tempered by valuation stretch risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$18,653 Vol.
120 $
99%
130 $
96%
140 $
99%
150 $
96%
160 $
89%
170 $
70%
180 $
35%
190 $
8%
200 $
3%
210 $
1%
220 $
1%
230 $
1%
240 $
1%
$18,653 Vol.
120 $
99%
130 $
96%
140 $
99%
150 $
96%
160 $
89%
170 $
70%
180 $
35%
190 $
8%
200 $
3%
210 $
1%
220 $
1%
230 $
1%
240 $
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a 62% implied probability for NVIDIA (NVDA) to close above $150 by March 31, driven primarily by robust AI chip demand and hyperscaler capital expenditure commitments from Meta, Microsoft, and Alphabet totaling over $200 billion annually. NVDA shares trade near $138 following a 170% YTD surge, buoyed by Blackwell GPU ramp-up, though high 45x forward P/E tempers enthusiasm amid U.S.-China export curbs. Key upcoming catalysts include February 26 Q4 earnings—consensus eyes 80% revenue growth—and March Fed meeting rate outlook, with historical post-earnings pops averaging 12% favoring upside. Trader capital reflects optimism tempered by valuation stretch risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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