Trader sentiment on Polymarket for NVIDIA (NVDA) closing above key thresholds by March 31 reflects a 65% implied probability, driven primarily by robust AI chip demand and anticipated Blackwell platform ramp-up, with Q3 data center revenue surging 112% year-over-year to $30.8 billion per latest earnings. Current spot price hovers at $141 amid post-earnings volatility, supported by $50 billion in H100 GPU backlog but pressured by potential U.S. export curbs to China and softening hyperscaler capex guidance. Key risks include February 26 FOMC rate decision and NVDA's Q4 earnings on February 25, 2025; a close above $150 requires sustained 2% monthly gains, aligning with historical bull runs but vulnerable to macroeconomic slowdowns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$20,471 Vol.
120 $
99%
130 $
96%
140 $
99%
150 $
97%
160 $
89%
170 $
69%
180 $
37%
190 $
8%
200 $
4%
210 $
1%
220 $
1%
230 $
1%
240 $
1%
$20,471 Vol.
120 $
99%
130 $
96%
140 $
99%
150 $
97%
160 $
89%
170 $
69%
180 $
37%
190 $
8%
200 $
4%
210 $
1%
220 $
1%
230 $
1%
240 $
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for NVIDIA (NVDA) closing above key thresholds by March 31 reflects a 65% implied probability, driven primarily by robust AI chip demand and anticipated Blackwell platform ramp-up, with Q3 data center revenue surging 112% year-over-year to $30.8 billion per latest earnings. Current spot price hovers at $141 amid post-earnings volatility, supported by $50 billion in H100 GPU backlog but pressured by potential U.S. export curbs to China and softening hyperscaler capex guidance. Key risks include February 26 FOMC rate decision and NVDA's Q4 earnings on February 25, 2025; a close above $150 requires sustained 2% monthly gains, aligning with historical bull runs but vulnerable to macroeconomic slowdowns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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