Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts bearish for Netflix (NFLX) closing above the $650 strike by March 29, with yes shares trading at 35% implied probability, reflecting caution amid broader tech sector rotation. NFLX shares hover near $615 after a post-Q4 earnings rally fueled by 13.1 million subscriber adds and ad-tier revenue acceleration to $1.3 billion run-rate, but recent profit-taking and Nasdaq volatility have capped upside. Key risks include softening consumer spending ahead of April 18 Q1 earnings, where trader consensus eyes 260 million paid subs. Watch March 28 CPI data for rate-cut signals boosting growth stocks; historical EOM closes show 60% success above 50-day SMA at $592.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNetflix (NFLX) fermera-t-il au-dessus de ___ fin mars ?
Netflix (NFLX) fermera-t-il au-dessus de ___ fin mars ?
$44,258 Vol.
0,00 $
100%
20 $
100%
40 $
95%
60 $
82%
80 $
93%
100 $
11%
120 $
4%
140 $
3%
160 $
<1%
180 $
<1%
200 $
<1%
$44,258 Vol.
0,00 $
100%
20 $
100%
40 $
95%
60 $
82%
80 $
93%
100 $
11%
120 $
4%
140 $
3%
160 $
<1%
180 $
<1%
200 $
<1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts bearish for Netflix (NFLX) closing above the $650 strike by March 29, with yes shares trading at 35% implied probability, reflecting caution amid broader tech sector rotation. NFLX shares hover near $615 after a post-Q4 earnings rally fueled by 13.1 million subscriber adds and ad-tier revenue acceleration to $1.3 billion run-rate, but recent profit-taking and Nasdaq volatility have capped upside. Key risks include softening consumer spending ahead of April 18 Q1 earnings, where trader consensus eyes 260 million paid subs. Watch March 28 CPI data for rate-cut signals boosting growth stocks; historical EOM closes show 60% success above 50-day SMA at $592.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes