Trader sentiment on Polymarket prices a modest implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) closing above $700 by March 31, primarily driven by the stock's post-earnings rally after Q4 results showed 13 million net subscriber adds—exceeding estimates—and robust ad-tier revenue growth at 35% YoY. Current NFLX trades at $685 amid broader market volatility from Fed rate cut expectations, with the S&P 500 benchmark up 8% YTD. Key risks include content spending pressures ($17B annually) and competition from Disney+, while no major catalysts loom before quarter-end; watch March 28 CPI data for macro ripples. Historical March closes average +2.5% for NFLX, supporting trader consensus if momentum holds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNetflix (NFLX) fermera-t-il au-dessus de ___ fin mars ?
Netflix (NFLX) fermera-t-il au-dessus de ___ fin mars ?
$53,606 Vol.
0,00 $
100%
20 $
100%
40 $
89%
60 $
82%
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92%
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12%
120 $
3%
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$53,606 Vol.
0,00 $
100%
20 $
100%
40 $
89%
60 $
82%
80 $
92%
100 $
12%
120 $
3%
140 $
3%
160 $
1%
180 $
1%
200 $
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket prices a modest implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) closing above $700 by March 31, primarily driven by the stock's post-earnings rally after Q4 results showed 13 million net subscriber adds—exceeding estimates—and robust ad-tier revenue growth at 35% YoY. Current NFLX trades at $685 amid broader market volatility from Fed rate cut expectations, with the S&P 500 benchmark up 8% YTD. Key risks include content spending pressures ($17B annually) and competition from Disney+, while no major catalysts loom before quarter-end; watch March 28 CPI data for macro ripples. Historical March closes average +2.5% for NFLX, supporting trader consensus if momentum holds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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