Recent reports of SpaceX preparing a confidential SEC filing as early as this week, targeting a mid-June 2026 IPO at a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—the largest ever—have driven its 89.5% implied probability as the year's top debut by market cap. This follows February's acquisition of xAI, boosting the combined entity's appeal with synergies in AI-driven satellite tech and orbital computing, sustaining xAI's notable 25.5% trader sentiment amid merger integration talks. OpenAI and Anthropic trail at 4.1% and 3.8% due to vaguer Q4 timelines and sub-trillion valuations, while others like Stripe lag on subdued growth narratives. Watch April investor briefings and filing confirmation for potential shifts, though regulatory hurdles or delays remain risks in this skin-in-the-game consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa plus grande introduction en bourse par capitalisation boursière en 2026 ?
La plus grande introduction en bourse par capitalisation boursière en 2026 ?
SpaceX 90%
OpenAI 4.1%
Anthropic 3.8%
Discord <1%
$1,617,603 Vol.
$1,617,603 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
90%
OpenAI
4%
Anthropic
4%
Discord
1%
Stripe
1%
Kraken
<1%
Databricks
<1%
Waymo
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
SpaceX 90%
OpenAI 4.1%
Anthropic 3.8%
Discord <1%
$1,617,603 Vol.
$1,617,603 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
$178,910 Vol.
90%
OpenAI
$295,156 Vol.
4%
Anthropic
$341,989 Vol.
4%
Discord
$67,624 Vol.
1%
Stripe
$37,223 Vol.
1%
Kraken
$372,355 Vol.
<1%
Databricks
$67,118 Vol.
<1%
Waymo
$44,082 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$83,907 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$24,641 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$52,905 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$51,692 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports of SpaceX preparing a confidential SEC filing as early as this week, targeting a mid-June 2026 IPO at a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—the largest ever—have driven its 89.5% implied probability as the year's top debut by market cap. This follows February's acquisition of xAI, boosting the combined entity's appeal with synergies in AI-driven satellite tech and orbital computing, sustaining xAI's notable 25.5% trader sentiment amid merger integration talks. OpenAI and Anthropic trail at 4.1% and 3.8% due to vaguer Q4 timelines and sub-trillion valuations, while others like Stripe lag on subdued growth narratives. Watch April investor briefings and filing confirmation for potential shifts, though regulatory hurdles or delays remain risks in this skin-in-the-game consensus.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$1,617,603Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports of SpaceX preparing a confidential SEC filing as early as this week, targeting a mid-June 2026 IPO at a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—the largest ever—have driven its 89.5% implied probability as the year's top debut by market cap. This follows February's acquisition of xAI, boosting the combined entity's appeal with synergies in AI-driven satellite tech and orbital computing, sustaining xAI's notable 25.5% trader sentiment amid merger integration talks. OpenAI and Anthropic trail at 4.1% and 3.8% due to vaguer Q4 timelines and sub-trillion valuations, while others like Stripe lag on subdued growth narratives. Watch April investor briefings and filing confirmation for potential shifts, though regulatory hurdles or delays remain risks in this skin-in-the-game consensus.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,617,603Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent reports of SpaceX preparing a confidential SEC filing as early as this week, targeting a mid-June 2026 IPO at a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—the largest ever—have driven its 89.5% implied probability as the year's top debut by market cap. This follows February's acquisition of xAI, boosting the combined entity's appeal with synergies in AI-driven satellite tech and orbital computing, sustaining xAI's notable 25.5% trader sentiment amid merger integration talks. OpenAI and Anthropic trail at 4.1% and 3.8% due to vaguer Q4 timelines and sub-trillion valuations, while others like Stripe lag on subdued growth narratives. Watch April investor briefings and filing confirmation for potential shifts, though regulatory hurdles or delays remain risks in this skin-in-the-game consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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