Amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions following American military strikes on Iran in early March 2026, Tehran has signaled a preference for Vice President JD Vance to lead diplomatic negotiations, rejecting talks with envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner due to trust issues. Pakistan proposed hosting indirect discussions in Islamabad, with unconfirmed reports of a potential Vance visit over the March 28-30 weekend dismissed by the White House as speculative. Vance, who expressed early skepticism about the strikes, may join if lower-level envoys achieve progress. Traders monitor backchannel diplomacy and upcoming mediation efforts, as no direct meeting has occurred, leaving resolution timelines uncertain ahead of possible April developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourJD Vance rencontre diplomatique avec l'Iran d'ici le... ?
JD Vance rencontre diplomatique avec l'Iran d'ici le... ?
$236,090 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
31 mars
<1%
10 avril
8%
30 avril
18%
$236,090 Vol.
31 mars
$157,848 Vol.
<1%
10 avril
$76,293 Vol.
8%
30 avril
$1,949 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions following American military strikes on Iran in early March 2026, Tehran has signaled a preference for Vice President JD Vance to lead diplomatic negotiations, rejecting talks with envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner due to trust issues. Pakistan proposed hosting indirect discussions in Islamabad, with unconfirmed reports of a potential Vance visit over the March 28-30 weekend dismissed by the White House as speculative. Vance, who expressed early skepticism about the strikes, may join if lower-level envoys achieve progress. Traders monitor backchannel diplomacy and upcoming mediation efforts, as no direct meeting has occurred, leaving resolution timelines uncertain ahead of possible April developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 30, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
Volume
$236,090Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 30, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions following American military strikes on Iran in early March 2026, Tehran has signaled a preference for Vice President JD Vance to lead diplomatic negotiations, rejecting talks with envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner due to trust issues. Pakistan proposed hosting indirect discussions in Islamabad, with unconfirmed reports of a potential Vance visit over the March 28-30 weekend dismissed by the White House as speculative. Vance, who expressed early skepticism about the strikes, may join if lower-level envoys achieve progress. Traders monitor backchannel diplomacy and upcoming mediation efforts, as no direct meeting has occurred, leaving resolution timelines uncertain ahead of possible April developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$236,090Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 30, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions following American military strikes on Iran in early March 2026, Tehran has signaled a preference for Vice President JD Vance to lead diplomatic negotiations, rejecting talks with envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner due to trust issues. Pakistan proposed hosting indirect discussions in Islamabad, with unconfirmed reports of a potential Vance visit over the March 28-30 weekend dismissed by the White House as speculative. Vance, who expressed early skepticism about the strikes, may join if lower-level envoys achieve progress. Traders monitor backchannel diplomacy and upcoming mediation efforts, as no direct meeting has occurred, leaving resolution timelines uncertain ahead of possible April developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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