Vice President JD Vance has emerged as a pivotal figure in US-Iran de-escalation efforts amid an ongoing conflict, with Tehran signaling a preference for direct negotiations with him over other administration officials like Marco Rubio or Pete Hegseth. Recent reports indicate Pakistan is positioning itself as a broker for talks potentially in Islamabad next week, following US military actions that Vance described as having "effectively destroyed" Iran's conventional forces, creating diplomatic leverage. Vance's tense discussions with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu over regime-change strategies underscore internal allied tensions. No direct Vance-Iran meeting has occurred, but White House confirmation of his involvement in national security talks heightens trader focus on imminent diplomacy amid ceasefire pressures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourJD Vance rencontre diplomatique avec l'Iran d'ici le... ?
JD Vance rencontre diplomatique avec l'Iran d'ici le... ?
$137,878 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
31 mars
7%
10 avril
22%
$137,878 Vol.
31 mars
$99,407 Vol.
7%
10 avril
$41,355 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has emerged as a pivotal figure in US-Iran de-escalation efforts amid an ongoing conflict, with Tehran signaling a preference for direct negotiations with him over other administration officials like Marco Rubio or Pete Hegseth. Recent reports indicate Pakistan is positioning itself as a broker for talks potentially in Islamabad next week, following US military actions that Vance described as having "effectively destroyed" Iran's conventional forces, creating diplomatic leverage. Vance's tense discussions with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu over regime-change strategies underscore internal allied tensions. No direct Vance-Iran meeting has occurred, but White House confirmation of his involvement in national security talks heightens trader focus on imminent diplomacy amid ceasefire pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$137,878Date de fin
Apr 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has emerged as a pivotal figure in US-Iran de-escalation efforts amid an ongoing conflict, with Tehran signaling a preference for direct negotiations with him over other administration officials like Marco Rubio or Pete Hegseth. Recent reports indicate Pakistan is positioning itself as a broker for talks potentially in Islamabad next week, following US military actions that Vance described as having "effectively destroyed" Iran's conventional forces, creating diplomatic leverage. Vance's tense discussions with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu over regime-change strategies underscore internal allied tensions. No direct Vance-Iran meeting has occurred, but White House confirmation of his involvement in national security talks heightens trader focus on imminent diplomacy amid ceasefire pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$137,878Date de fin
Apr 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance has emerged as a pivotal figure in US-Iran de-escalation efforts amid an ongoing conflict, with Tehran signaling a preference for direct negotiations with him over other administration officials like Marco Rubio or Pete Hegseth. Recent reports indicate Pakistan is positioning itself as a broker for talks potentially in Islamabad next week, following US military actions that Vance described as having "effectively destroyed" Iran's conventional forces, creating diplomatic leverage. Vance's tense discussions with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu over regime-change strategies underscore internal allied tensions. No direct Vance-Iran meeting has occurred, but White House confirmation of his involvement in national security talks heightens trader focus on imminent diplomacy amid ceasefire pressures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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