Market icon

Combien de baisses de taux de la Fed en 2026 ?

2 (50 pb) 27%

3 (75 points de base) 27%

1 (25 bps) 16%

4 (100 pb) 13%

Polymarket

$4,580,141 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).

Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.

For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).

This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.

Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.

The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
Volume
$4,580,141
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026
Créé le
Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Market icon

Combien de baisses de taux de la Fed en 2026 ?

2 (50 pb) 27%

3 (75 points de base) 27%

1 (25 bps) 16%

4 (100 pb) 13%

Polymarket

$4,580,141 Vol.

0 (0 bps)

$790,908 Vol.

7%

1 (25 bps)

$404,007 Vol.

16%

2 (50 pb)

$389,124 Vol.

27%

3 (75 points de base)

$271,951 Vol.

27%

4 (100 pb)

$245,616 Vol.

13%

5 (125 pb)

$247,707 Vol.

6%

6 (150 points de base)

$395,992 Vol.

3%

7 (175 points de base)

$256,893 Vol.

2%

8 (200 points de base)

$338,534 Vol.

1%

9 (225 points de base)

$256,067 Vol.

1%

10 (250 pb)

$275,704 Vol.

1%

11 (275 points de base)

$312,269 Vol.

1%

12+ (300+ bps)

$395,369 Vol.

2%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.