Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 53% implied probability to a 21°C high temperature at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF projecting afternoon peaks in that range amid partial clearing after two days of persistent overcast skies and light rain that capped March 28 at around 16°C and March 29 at 18°C. Current morning observations show temperatures near 15–17°C with high humidity and scattered clouds, supporting mild warming under light southerly winds, though model disagreements of 3–5°C on cloud evolution introduce uncertainty that could limit highs to 20°C or push toward 22–23°C. Hourly METAR reports from the airport through late afternoon will clarify the peak, aligning with late-March climatological averages of 20–21°C highs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 30?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 30?
21°C 62%
20°C 17%
22°C 8%
24°C 2.1%
$10,726 Vol.
$10,726 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
17%
21°C
62%
22°C
16%
23°C
10%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
21°C 62%
20°C 17%
22°C 8%
24°C 2.1%
$10,726 Vol.
$10,726 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
17%
21°C
62%
22°C
16%
23°C
10%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 53% implied probability to a 21°C high temperature at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF projecting afternoon peaks in that range amid partial clearing after two days of persistent overcast skies and light rain that capped March 28 at around 16°C and March 29 at 18°C. Current morning observations show temperatures near 15–17°C with high humidity and scattered clouds, supporting mild warming under light southerly winds, though model disagreements of 3–5°C on cloud evolution introduce uncertainty that could limit highs to 20°C or push toward 22–23°C. Hourly METAR reports from the airport through late afternoon will clarify the peak, aligning with late-March climatological averages of 20–21°C highs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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