Official hourly observations from Beijing Capital International Airport's automated weather station, aggregated on Weather Underground, record the highest temperature of 23°C on April 3, 2026, peaking at 73°F (22.8°C, rounded to nearest degree) around 2 PM local time amid hazy conditions, 15% humidity, and gusty westerly winds up to 40 mph that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 100% implied probability on 23°C, aligning with China Meteorological Administration pre-day forecasts of 22°C highs under persistent high-pressure ridges fostering early spring warming above the 20°C April average. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data audits uncovering higher sensor readings, though finalized synoptic reports render such shifts improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$207,689 Vol.
$207,689 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$207,689 Vol.
$207,689 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
Official hourly observations from Beijing Capital International Airport's automated weather station, aggregated on Weather Underground, record the highest temperature of 23°C on April 3, 2026, peaking at 73°F (22.8°C, rounded to nearest degree) around 2 PM local time amid hazy conditions, 15% humidity, and gusty westerly winds up to 40 mph that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 100% implied probability on 23°C, aligning with China Meteorological Administration pre-day forecasts of 22°C highs under persistent high-pressure ridges fostering early spring warming above the 20°C April average. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data audits uncovering higher sensor readings, though finalized synoptic reports render such shifts improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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