Trader consensus assigns a 98.8% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Beijing on April 1, driven by converging short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting a daytime peak of 19°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds. Early morning observations at Beijing Capital International Airport logged around 18°C by 5 a.m. local time, with high-pressure ridging favoring solar insolation and modest warming through afternoon hours—consistent with typical early April climatology averaging 20°C highs. Model ensembles show minimal spread, but realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover reducing insolation, a late-day cool front, or urban heat island variations at the official measurement station, with CMA hourly bulletins providing final clarity by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
19°C 99.6%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
13°C <1%
$124,136 Vol.
$124,136 Vol.
1 avr. 2026
13°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.6%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
13°C <1%
$124,136 Vol.
$124,136 Vol.
1 avr. 2026
13°C
$7,321 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$9,995 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$13,251 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$14,576 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$15,617 Vol.
100%
20°C
$13,879 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$10,836 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$10,640 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 98.8% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Beijing on April 1, driven by converging short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting a daytime peak of 19°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds. Early morning observations at Beijing Capital International Airport logged around 18°C by 5 a.m. local time, with high-pressure ridging favoring solar insolation and modest warming through afternoon hours—consistent with typical early April climatology averaging 20°C highs. Model ensembles show minimal spread, but realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover reducing insolation, a late-day cool front, or urban heat island variations at the official measurement station, with CMA hourly bulletins providing final clarity by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Volume
$124,136Date de fin
1 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 98.8% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Beijing on April 1, driven by converging short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting a daytime peak of 19°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds. Early morning observations at Beijing Capital International Airport logged around 18°C by 5 a.m. local time, with high-pressure ridging favoring solar insolation and modest warming through afternoon hours—consistent with typical early April climatology averaging 20°C highs. Model ensembles show minimal spread, but realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover reducing insolation, a late-day cool front, or urban heat island variations at the official measurement station, with CMA hourly bulletins providing final clarity by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$124,136Date de fin
1 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 98.8% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Beijing on April 1, driven by converging short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting a daytime peak of 19°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds. Early morning observations at Beijing Capital International Airport logged around 18°C by 5 a.m. local time, with high-pressure ridging favoring solar insolation and modest warming through afternoon hours—consistent with typical early April climatology averaging 20°C highs. Model ensembles show minimal spread, but realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover reducing insolation, a late-day cool front, or urban heat island variations at the official measurement station, with CMA hourly bulletins providing final clarity by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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