Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested, with no prison time at 40.8% narrowly leading 20-30 years at 35.5%, reflecting deep uncertainty in his protracted #MeToo legal battles. The California 16-year rape conviction holds amid an ongoing appeal, while a January court rejection upheld his June 2025 New York criminal sexual act guilty verdict—carrying up to 25 years, though unsentenced—fueling hopes for concurrent terms or compassionate release given his age (73) and health crises including cancer and diabetes. This week's opening statements in his third New York rape retrial (max four years) on a prior mistrial charge heighten volatility; acquittal or plea could tip toward minimal incarceration, but conviction risks escalating totals, with appeal rulings as pivotal swing factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourUne peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ?
Une peine de prison pour Harvey Weinstein ?
Aucune peine de prison 41.4%
20-30 ans 35.5%
10-20 ans 12.8%
Plus de 30 ans 5.0%
$856,296 Vol.
$856,296 Vol.
31 déc. 2025
Aucune peine de prison
41%
<5 ans
3%
5-10 ans
4%
10-20 ans
13%
20-30 ans
36%
Plus de 30 ans
5%
Aucune peine de prison 41.4%
20-30 ans 35.5%
10-20 ans 12.8%
Plus de 30 ans 5.0%
$856,296 Vol.
$856,296 Vol.
31 déc. 2025
Aucune peine de prison
$320,456 Vol.
41%
<5 ans
$100,570 Vol.
3%
5-10 ans
$57,520 Vol.
4%
10-20 ans
$140,760 Vol.
13%
20-30 ans
$180,242 Vol.
36%
Plus de 30 ans
$56,748 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested, with no prison time at 40.8% narrowly leading 20-30 years at 35.5%, reflecting deep uncertainty in his protracted #MeToo legal battles. The California 16-year rape conviction holds amid an ongoing appeal, while a January court rejection upheld his June 2025 New York criminal sexual act guilty verdict—carrying up to 25 years, though unsentenced—fueling hopes for concurrent terms or compassionate release given his age (73) and health crises including cancer and diabetes. This week's opening statements in his third New York rape retrial (max four years) on a prior mistrial charge heighten volatility; acquittal or plea could tip toward minimal incarceration, but conviction risks escalating totals, with appeal rulings as pivotal swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volume
$856,296Date de fin
31 déc. 2025Marché ouvert
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested, with no prison time at 40.8% narrowly leading 20-30 years at 35.5%, reflecting deep uncertainty in his protracted #MeToo legal battles. The California 16-year rape conviction holds amid an ongoing appeal, while a January court rejection upheld his June 2025 New York criminal sexual act guilty verdict—carrying up to 25 years, though unsentenced—fueling hopes for concurrent terms or compassionate release given his age (73) and health crises including cancer and diabetes. This week's opening statements in his third New York rape retrial (max four years) on a prior mistrial charge heighten volatility; acquittal or plea could tip toward minimal incarceration, but conviction risks escalating totals, with appeal rulings as pivotal swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$856,296Date de fin
31 déc. 2025Marché ouvert
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested, with no prison time at 40.8% narrowly leading 20-30 years at 35.5%, reflecting deep uncertainty in his protracted #MeToo legal battles. The California 16-year rape conviction holds amid an ongoing appeal, while a January court rejection upheld his June 2025 New York criminal sexual act guilty verdict—carrying up to 25 years, though unsentenced—fueling hopes for concurrent terms or compassionate release given his age (73) and health crises including cancer and diabetes. This week's opening statements in his third New York rape retrial (max four years) on a prior mistrial charge heighten volatility; acquittal or plea could tip toward minimal incarceration, but conviction risks escalating totals, with appeal rulings as pivotal swing factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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