The latest CDC FluView report for Week 12 (ending March 28, 2026) shows a FluSurv-NET cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 82.7 per 100,000 population—up slightly from 81.6 the prior week amid plummeting weekly rates of just 0.8 per 100,000, reflecting sharply declining national flu activity dominated by influenza A(H3N2). This positions traders' 95.5% consensus on 80–85 for Week 13 (ending April 4) as a skin-in-the-game bet on minimal late-season additions, consistent with FluSight ensemble forecasts predicting further drops in hospital admissions and historical patterns in severe seasons (third-highest cumulative since 2010–11). Revisions from reporting delays or an unforeseen regional surge could nudge it toward 85–90, though current epidemiological trends make this unlikely; expect resolution after April 11 data release.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 13, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 13, 2026?
80–85 96%
85–90 2.0%
<70 1.7%
90+ 1.5%
<70
2%
70–75
1%
75–80
1%
80–85
96%
85–90
2%
90+
2%
80–85 96%
85–90 2.0%
<70 1.7%
90+ 1.5%
<70
2%
70–75
1%
75–80
1%
80–85
96%
85–90
2%
90+
2%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Marché ouvert : Apr 3, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The latest CDC FluView report for Week 12 (ending March 28, 2026) shows a FluSurv-NET cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 82.7 per 100,000 population—up slightly from 81.6 the prior week amid plummeting weekly rates of just 0.8 per 100,000, reflecting sharply declining national flu activity dominated by influenza A(H3N2). This positions traders' 95.5% consensus on 80–85 for Week 13 (ending April 4) as a skin-in-the-game bet on minimal late-season additions, consistent with FluSight ensemble forecasts predicting further drops in hospital admissions and historical patterns in severe seasons (third-highest cumulative since 2010–11). Revisions from reporting delays or an unforeseen regional surge could nudge it toward 85–90, though current epidemiological trends make this unlikely; expect resolution after April 11 data release.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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