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European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?

Market icon

European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$113,275 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$113,275 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the European Central Bank's (ECB) October 2024 meeting the deposit facility rate is set below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for October 17, 2024 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the European Central Bank's (ECB) October 2024 meeting the deposit facility rate is set below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for October 17, 2024 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html

The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html

This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$113,275
Date de fin
17 oct. 2024
Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2024, 5:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the European Central Bank's (ECB) October 2024 meeting the deposit facility rate is set below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for October 17, 2024 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the European Central Bank's (ECB) October 2024 meeting the deposit facility rate is set below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for October 17, 2024 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the European Central Bank's (ECB) October 2024 meeting the deposit facility rate is set below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for October 17, 2024 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html

The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html

This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$113,275
Date de fin
17 oct. 2024
Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2024, 5:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the European Central Bank's (ECB) October 2024 meeting the deposit facility rate is set below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for October 17, 2024 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

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Questions fréquentes

« European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 100% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 100¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting? » a généré $113.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Sep 12, 2024. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting? » est de 100% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 100% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.