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icon for Bahia Governor Election Winner
Élections·Brésil

Bahia Governor Election Winner

icon for Bahia Governor Election Winner
Élections·Brésil

Bahia Governor Election Winner

ACM Neto 53%

Jerônimo Rodrigues 28%

José Carlos Aleluia 7.0%

Kleber Rosa 4.5%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

ACM Neto 53%

Jerônimo Rodrigues 28%

José Carlos Aleluia 7.0%

Kleber Rosa 4.5%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for ACM Neto

ACM Neto

$1,371 Vol.

53%

icon for Jerônimo Rodrigues

Jerônimo Rodrigues

$609 Vol.

36%

icon for José Carlos Aleluia

José Carlos Aleluia

$1,218 Vol.

7%

icon for Kleber Rosa

Kleber Rosa

$617 Vol.

5%

icon for João Roma

João Roma

$324 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bruno Soares Reis

Bruno Soares Reis

$324 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa

Rui Costa

$488 Vol.

<1%

The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls underpin trader consensus positioning ACM Neto (52.5%) as frontrunner to win Bahia's October 4, 2026, gubernatorial election, leading incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (33.5%) in this PT stronghold after two decades of dominance. Quaest's April 23-27 survey shows a technical tie at 41-37%, but Veritá's concurrent poll gives Neto a 48-36% edge in total votes, bolstered by his lower rejection rate (22% vs. Jerônimo's 47%) and alliances including PL support from Flávio Bolsonaro and Partido Novo. José Carlos Aleluia (7%) and Kleber Rosa (4.5%) trail as fragmented challengers, with negligible odds for João Roma, Bruno Soares Reis, and Rui Costa reflecting minimal polling support. A first-round majority or runoff looms in this tight duel.

The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$4,952
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls underpin trader consensus positioning ACM Neto (52.5%) as frontrunner to win Bahia's October 4, 2026, gubernatorial election, leading incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (33.5%) in this PT stronghold after two decades of dominance. Quaest's April 23-27 survey shows a technical tie at 41-37%, but Veritá's concurrent poll gives Neto a 48-36% edge in total votes, bolstered by his lower rejection rate (22% vs. Jerônimo's 47%) and alliances including PL support from Flávio Bolsonaro and Partido Novo. José Carlos Aleluia (7%) and Kleber Rosa (4.5%) trail as fragmented challengers, with negligible odds for João Roma, Bruno Soares Reis, and Rui Costa reflecting minimal polling support. A first-round majority or runoff looms in this tight duel.

The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$4,952
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Questions fréquentes

« Bahia Governor Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « ACM Neto » à 53%, suivi de « Jerônimo Rodrigues » à 36%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 53¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 53% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Bahia Governor Election Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 27, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Bahia Governor Election Winner », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Bahia Governor Election Winner » est « ACM Neto » à 53%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 53% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Jerônimo Rodrigues » à 36%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Bahia Governor Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.