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Monde·Brésil

Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place

Market icon
Monde·Brésil

Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place

Ronaldo Caiado 35%

Renan Santos 32%

Romeu Zema 19%

Flávio Bolsonaro 4.2%

Polymarket

$206,653 Vol.

Ronaldo Caiado 35%

Renan Santos 32%

Romeu Zema 19%

Flávio Bolsonaro 4.2%

Polymarket

$206,653 Vol.

Ronaldo Caiado terminera-t-il à la troisième place au premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ? icon

Ronaldo Caiado

$9,610 Vol.

35%

Renan Santos terminera-t-il à la troisième place au premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ? icon

Renan Santos

$27,868 Vol.

32%

Romeu Zema terminera-t-il à la troisième place au premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ? icon

Romeu Zema

$4,088 Vol.

19%

Flávio Bolsonaro terminera-t-il à la troisième place au premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ? icon

Flávio Bolsonaro

$2,621 Vol.

4%

Fernando Haddad terminera-t-il à la troisième place au premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ? icon

Fernando Haddad

$12,229 Vol.

4%

Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior terminera-t-il à la troisième place lors du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ? icon

Ratinho Júnior

$90,211 Vol.

3%

Camilo Santana terminera-t-il à la troisième place au premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ? icon

Camilo Santana

$4,670 Vol.

2%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva terminera-t-il à la troisième place lors du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ? icon

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$2,984 Vol.

2%

Eduardo Bolsonaro va-t-il terminer à la troisième place lors du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ? icon

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$38,847 Vol.

1%

Tarcisio de Freitas terminera-t-il à la troisième place au premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ? icon

Tarcisio de Freitas

$2,866 Vol.

1%

Jair Bolsonaro terminera-t-il à la troisième place au premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ? icon

Jair Bolsonaro

$2,059 Vol.

1%

Eduardo Leite terminera-t-il à la troisième place au premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ? icon

Eduardo Leite

$1,640 Vol.

1%

Aldo Rebelo terminera-t-il à la troisième place au premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ? icon

Aldo Rebelo

$1,754 Vol.

1%

Michelle Bolsonaro va-t-elle terminer à la troisième place au premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ? icon

Michelle Bolsonaro

$2,265 Vol.

1%

Geraldo Alckmin terminera-t-il à la troisième place au premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ? icon

Geraldo Alckmin

$2,939 Vol.

1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Ronaldo Caiado a slight edge at 34.5% implied probability for third place in Brazil's October 4, 2026, first-round presidential election, closely trailed by Renan Santos at 31% and Romeu Zema at 19.5%, amid polls showing Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro dominating the top two spots. The latest Quaest survey from April 9-13 places Caiado at 6%, Zema at 3%, and Santos at 2% among valid votes, with 16% undecideds amplifying volatility in the fragmented center-right field where governors like Caiado (Goiás) and Zema (Minas Gerais) leverage regional strongholds while Santos gains anti-establishment traction via the new Missão party rooted in MBL activism. The race stays tight due to vote-splitting conservatives and Flávio Bolsonaro's ongoing defamation probe potentially redistributing right-wing support; separation could arise from candidate consolidations, fresh polling, or pre-campaign endorsements before registration deadlines.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$206,653
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Ronaldo Caiado a slight edge at 34.5% implied probability for third place in Brazil's October 4, 2026, first-round presidential election, closely trailed by Renan Santos at 31% and Romeu Zema at 19.5%, amid polls showing Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro dominating the top two spots. The latest Quaest survey from April 9-13 places Caiado at 6%, Zema at 3%, and Santos at 2% among valid votes, with 16% undecideds amplifying volatility in the fragmented center-right field where governors like Caiado (Goiás) and Zema (Minas Gerais) leverage regional strongholds while Santos gains anti-establishment traction via the new Missão party rooted in MBL activism. The race stays tight due to vote-splitting conservatives and Flávio Bolsonaro's ongoing defamation probe potentially redistributing right-wing support; separation could arise from candidate consolidations, fresh polling, or pre-campaign endorsements before registration deadlines.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$206,653
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 15 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Ronaldo Caiado » à 35%, suivi de « Renan Santos » à 32%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 35¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 35% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place » a généré $206.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 11, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place », parcourez les 15 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place » est « Ronaldo Caiado » à 35%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 35% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Renan Santos » à 32%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.