Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 58% probability that Amazon (AMZN) stock closes above $175 on March 20, reflecting tight positioning just below that threshold after yesterday's $174.92 close amid broader tech gains. Key drivers include anticipation of the FOMC's 2:00 PM ET rate decision, where markets price steady 5.25-5.50% fed funds with three 2024 cuts signaled via updated dot plot—dovish surprises could fuel Nasdaq rally, lifting AMZN's AI-driven AWS narrative. Recent catalysts: robust Q4 earnings with 13% revenue growth and $100B+ 2024 capex commitment boosting sentiment, though hot CPI tempers rate-cut bets. Watch post-Powell volatility; historical precedent shows tech +1-2% on neutral Fed days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$5,741 Vol.
200 $
Oui
205 $
Oui
210 $
Non
215 $
Non
220 $
Non
$5,741 Vol.
200 $
Oui
205 $
Oui
210 $
Non
215 $
Non
220 $
Non
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 58% probability that Amazon (AMZN) stock closes above $175 on March 20, reflecting tight positioning just below that threshold after yesterday's $174.92 close amid broader tech gains. Key drivers include anticipation of the FOMC's 2:00 PM ET rate decision, where markets price steady 5.25-5.50% fed funds with three 2024 cuts signaled via updated dot plot—dovish surprises could fuel Nasdaq rally, lifting AMZN's AI-driven AWS narrative. Recent catalysts: robust Q4 earnings with 13% revenue growth and $100B+ 2024 capex commitment boosting sentiment, though hot CPI tempers rate-cut bets. Watch post-Powell volatility; historical precedent shows tech +1-2% on neutral Fed days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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