Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a slim 52% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) closing above $175 on March 18, anchored by the stock's recent close at $174.62 on March 15 amid choppy trading tied to broader market volatility from sticky inflation data. Bullish catalysts include robust AWS revenue growth projections from Q4 earnings and e-commerce tailwinds from February retail sales beating estimates at +0.6% MoM, while bears cite peaking consumer spending and Fed rate cut delays ahead of the March 20 FOMC meeting. Key watch: intraday support at $173.50; a break above $176 premarket could shift odds sharply higher as options expiration amplifies momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$0.00 Vol.
200 $
Oui
205 $
Oui
210 $
Non
215 $
Non
220 $
Non
$0.00 Vol.
200 $
Oui
205 $
Oui
210 $
Non
215 $
Non
220 $
Non
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 17, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a slim 52% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) closing above $175 on March 18, anchored by the stock's recent close at $174.62 on March 15 amid choppy trading tied to broader market volatility from sticky inflation data. Bullish catalysts include robust AWS revenue growth projections from Q4 earnings and e-commerce tailwinds from February retail sales beating estimates at +0.6% MoM, while bears cite peaking consumer spending and Fed rate cut delays ahead of the March 20 FOMC meeting. Key watch: intraday support at $173.50; a break above $176 premarket could shift odds sharply higher as options expiration amplifies momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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