Trader consensus gives Azat Hovhannisyan a slim 52% implied probability edge over Eduardo Baez in their 10-round featherweight main card opener at Zuffa Boxing 5, reflecting a closely contested matchup between battle-tested veterans at the UFC APEX. Hovhannisyan's explosive knockout power—77% of his 22 wins end early, including a dominant unanimous decision rebound over Aidos Medet in January—fuels his favoritism, countering Baez's 4-inch reach advantage and higher volume style honed in 34 bouts. Baez, fresher at 30 despite inactivity since a 2024 stoppage loss, brings technical boxing from recent decisions against top featherweights. Entering fight week with no reported injuries, Friday's weigh-ins and final sparring reports could tip the balance toward power or precision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

It will resolve to "Baez" if Eduardo Baez is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.ufc.com/.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 4:23 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.ufc.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...

It will resolve to "Baez" if Eduardo Baez is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.ufc.com/.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 4:23 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.ufc.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus gives Azat Hovhannisyan a slim 52% implied probability edge over Eduardo Baez in their 10-round featherweight main card opener at Zuffa Boxing 5, reflecting a closely contested matchup between battle-tested veterans at the UFC APEX. Hovhannisyan's explosive knockout power—77% of his 22 wins end early, including a dominant unanimous decision rebound over Aidos Medet in January—fuels his favoritism, countering Baez's 4-inch reach advantage and higher volume style honed in 34 bouts. Baez, fresher at 30 despite inactivity since a 2024 stoppage loss, brings technical boxing from recent decisions against top featherweights. Entering fight week with no reported injuries, Friday's weigh-ins and final sparring reports could tip the balance toward power or precision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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