Aryna Sabalenka's 88.5% implied probability in her Miami Open matchup against Hailey Baptiste reflects her status as world No. 2 and dominant hardcourt form, entering with a 20-3 record in 2024 after winning the Australian Open and reaching the Indian Wells final. Baptiste, ranked No. 98 and entering as a qualifier after strong wins over Ostapenko and Brengle, faces a steep uphill battle in their first head-to-head, where Sabalenka's power serving and baseline aggression have overwhelmed similar underdogs. No injuries reported for either, but Sabalenka's 82% win rate on Miami hardcourts versus Baptiste's limited top-tier experience underpins trader consensus on the heavy favoritism.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated1st Set
This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Hailey Baptiste.
This market will resolve to 'Hailey Baptiste' if Hailey Baptiste advances against Aryna Sabalenka.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wtatennis.com/scoresResolver
0x65070BE91...1st Set
This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Hailey Baptiste.
This market will resolve to 'Hailey Baptiste' if Hailey Baptiste advances against Aryna Sabalenka.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wtatennis.com/scoresResolver
0x65070BE91...Aryna Sabalenka's 88.5% implied probability in her Miami Open matchup against Hailey Baptiste reflects her status as world No. 2 and dominant hardcourt form, entering with a 20-3 record in 2024 after winning the Australian Open and reaching the Indian Wells final. Baptiste, ranked No. 98 and entering as a qualifier after strong wins over Ostapenko and Brengle, faces a steep uphill battle in their first head-to-head, where Sabalenka's power serving and baseline aggression have overwhelmed similar underdogs. No injuries reported for either, but Sabalenka's 82% win rate on Miami hardcourts versus Baptiste's limited top-tier experience underpins trader consensus on the heavy favoritism.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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