Will Trump lower tariffs on China by...?
$1,149,651 Vol.
OUTCOMERESULT
April 30
$130,179 Vol.
No
April 30
$130,179 Vol.
No
May 31
$872,265 Vol.
Yes
May 31
$872,265 Vol.
Yes
July 31
$147,207 Vol.
Yes
July 31
$147,207 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that lowers, pauses, delays, or removes any tariffs on imports from China by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove any tariffs on Chinese imports will qualify, including changes to the reciprocal tariff, or any other existing or new tariffs specifically targeting Chinese goods.
Only the removal of tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, the removal of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S., or a tariff on specific Chinese provinces or entities, will not count toward this market’s resolution.
Item-specific tariff exemptions, such as those outlined in the U.S. Customs and Border Protection notice dated April 11, 2025, which excluded 25 HTSUS codes covering electronics, will not qualify.
Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove any tariffs on Chinese imports will qualify, including changes to the reciprocal tariff, or any other existing or new tariffs specifically targeting Chinese goods.
Only the removal of tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, the removal of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S., or a tariff on specific Chinese provinces or entities, will not count toward this market’s resolution.
Item-specific tariff exemptions, such as those outlined in the U.S. Customs and Border Protection notice dated April 11, 2025, which excluded 25 HTSUS codes covering electronics, will not qualify.
Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Created At: Apr 16, 2025, 6:22 PM UTC
Volume
$1,149,651End Date
Jul 31, 2025Created At
Apr 16, 2025, 6:22 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$1,149,651 Vol.
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by...?
April 30
$130,179 Vol.
No
May 31
$872,265 Vol.
Yes
July 31
$147,207 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$1,149,651End Date
Jul 31, 2025Created At
Apr 16, 2025, 6:22 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.