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Will Trump and Machado hug by Friday?

NEW
18% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Machado hug by January 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Any hug recorded between market creation and that date ET will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Video or photographic evidence must be released within the market’s time frame to qualify.

A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.

Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.

The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Volume
$233
End Date
Jan 16, 2026
Created At
Jan 13, 2026, 11:28 PM UTC
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NEW
Market icon

Will Trump and Machado hug by Friday?

18% chance

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Machado hug by January 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Any hug recorded between market creation and that date ET will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Video or photographic evidence must be released within the market’s time frame to qualify.

A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.

Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.

The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Volume
$233
End Date
Jan 16, 2026
Created At
Jan 13, 2026, 11:28 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.