Trader sentiment for a White House full lid by 6:30 PM ET on any day from March 16-21 reflects daily schedule density, with lighter agendas favoring early closures. Recent Biden administration patterns show lids typically called between 4-7 PM after final events, averaging 65% yes probability on quiet days per historical tracking. March 16 features a late-afternoon Oval Office meeting, pressuring no resolution, while March 18-20 appear sparse absent surprises. Key catalysts include potential congressional briefings or foreign leader calls, tracked via whitehouse.gov updates and Press Secretary alerts. Upcoming schedule releases each morning could shift odds as traders weigh event timing against precedent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$18,718 Vol.
March 16
Yes
March 17
Yes
March 18
Yes
March 19
No
March 20
Yes
March 21
Yes
$18,718 Vol.
March 16
Yes
March 17
Yes
March 18
Yes
March 19
No
March 20
Yes
March 21
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Market Opened: Mar 12, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for a White House full lid by 6:30 PM ET on any day from March 16-21 reflects daily schedule density, with lighter agendas favoring early closures. Recent Biden administration patterns show lids typically called between 4-7 PM after final events, averaging 65% yes probability on quiet days per historical tracking. March 16 features a late-afternoon Oval Office meeting, pressuring no resolution, while March 18-20 appear sparse absent surprises. Key catalysts include potential congressional briefings or foreign leader calls, tracked via whitehouse.gov updates and Press Secretary alerts. Upcoming schedule releases each morning could shift odds as traders weigh event timing against precedent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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