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Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1?

Market icon

Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$119,284 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$119,284 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first official GTA 6 trailer gets over 600,000,000 views within 24 hours of being posted on YouTube. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only videos posted to the official Grand Theft Auto or Rockstar Games YouTube accounts will count toward the resolution of this market. Any video posted on any account or channel affiliated with Rockstar Games will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If the video is deleted during the first 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50. If YouTube is down or otherwise unavailable on the time of the final check, market resolution will be delayed for up to 3 days. If YouTube is still unavailable at that time, this market will resolve to 50-50. If, when checked on any of those three days allotted for a delay, over 600,000,000 views is recorded by YouTube, this market will resolve to "Yes".

If multiple GTA 6 trailers are released simultaneously, this market will resolve based on the video with the highest number of views within the stated 24 hour period.

If the GTA 6 trailer is not officially posted on YouTube by December 12, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50.
Volume
$119,284
End Date
Dec 12, 2023
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2023, 12:13 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first official GTA 6 trailer gets over 600,000,000 views within 24 hours of being posted on YouTube. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only videos posted to the official Grand Theft Auto or Rockstar Games YouTube accounts will count toward the resolution of this market. Any video posted on any account or channel affiliated with Rockstar Games will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the video is deleted during the first 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50. If YouTube is down or otherwise unavailable on the time of the final check, market resolution will be delayed for up to 3 days. If YouTube is still unavailable at that time, this market will resolve to 50-50. If, when checked on any of those three days allotted for a delay, over 600,000,000 views is recorded by YouTube, this market will resolve to "Yes". If multiple GTA 6 trailers are released simultaneously, this market will resolve based on the video with the highest number of views within the stated 24 hour period. If the GTA 6 trailer is not officially posted on YouTube by December 12, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first official GTA 6 trailer gets over 600,000,000 views within 24 hours of being posted on YouTube. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only videos posted to the official Grand Theft Auto or Rockstar Games YouTube accounts will count toward the resolution of this market. Any video posted on any account or channel affiliated with Rockstar Games will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If the video is deleted during the first 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50. If YouTube is down or otherwise unavailable on the time of the final check, market resolution will be delayed for up to 3 days. If YouTube is still unavailable at that time, this market will resolve to 50-50. If, when checked on any of those three days allotted for a delay, over 600,000,000 views is recorded by YouTube, this market will resolve to "Yes".

If multiple GTA 6 trailers are released simultaneously, this market will resolve based on the video with the highest number of views within the stated 24 hour period.

If the GTA 6 trailer is not officially posted on YouTube by December 12, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50.
Volume
$119,284
End Date
Dec 12, 2023
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2023, 12:13 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first official GTA 6 trailer gets over 600,000,000 views within 24 hours of being posted on YouTube. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only videos posted to the official Grand Theft Auto or Rockstar Games YouTube accounts will count toward the resolution of this market. Any video posted on any account or channel affiliated with Rockstar Games will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the video is deleted during the first 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50. If YouTube is down or otherwise unavailable on the time of the final check, market resolution will be delayed for up to 3 days. If YouTube is still unavailable at that time, this market will resolve to 50-50. If, when checked on any of those three days allotted for a delay, over 600,000,000 views is recorded by YouTube, this market will resolve to "Yes". If multiple GTA 6 trailers are released simultaneously, this market will resolve based on the video with the highest number of views within the stated 24 hour period. If the GTA 6 trailer is not officially posted on YouTube by December 12, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1?" has generated $119.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.