Market icon

Will the 2025 Guinea referendum pass?

98% chance
Polymarket

$8,232 Vol.

Guinea has scheduled a referendum to adopt a new constitution and begin a return to civilian rule for September 21, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://www.africanews.com/2025/07/03/guinea-presents-draft-for-new-constitution-referendum-set-for-september/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".​

If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond January 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Guinea, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,232
End Date
Sep 21, 2025
Created At
Aug 13, 2025, 3:38 PM ET
Guinea has scheduled a referendum to adopt a new constitution and begin a return to civilian rule for September 21, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://www.africanews.com/2025/07/03/guinea-presents-draft-for-new-constitution-referendum-set-for-september/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond January 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Guinea, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Will the 2025 Guinea referendum pass?

98% chance
Polymarket

$8,232 Vol.

Guinea has scheduled a referendum to adopt a new constitution and begin a return to civilian rule for September 21, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://www.africanews.com/2025/07/03/guinea-presents-draft-for-new-constitution-referendum-set-for-september/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".​

If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond January 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Guinea, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,232
End Date
Sep 21, 2025
Created At
Aug 13, 2025, 3:38 PM ET
Guinea has scheduled a referendum to adopt a new constitution and begin a return to civilian rule for September 21, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://www.africanews.com/2025/07/03/guinea-presents-draft-for-new-constitution-referendum-set-for-september/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond January 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Guinea, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.