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Will Kim Kardashian or Taylor Swift have a higher Google Trends 7-day rank in the US on March 3?

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Will Kim Kardashian or Taylor Swift have a higher Google Trends 7-day rank in the US on March 3?

This is a market on which American celebrity, Kim Kardashian or Taylor Swift, will have a higher average 7-day Google Trends rank for searches in The United States, as measured by Google Trends, on the resolution date, March 3, 2022 (12:00:00 PM ET). The resolution source for this market will be Google Trends data for the two search phrases' popularity, ‘Kim Kardashian' and ‘Taylor Swift’, as defined by searches executed by users in The United States averaged for the last 7 days. Specifically, the average for the last 7 days will be used, which is represented by the red and the blue bar in the 'Interest over time' box, and accessed in detail via the downloadable CSV file, both in the 'Interest over time' box at https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=now%207-d&geo=US&q=kim%20kardashian,taylor%20swift. Note that the integer-rounded averages will be used, as shown in the 'Interest over time' box. This market will resolve to "Kim Kardashian" if, according to the resolution source, ‘Kim Kardashian’ is searched more often than ‘Taylor Swift’ in the last 7 days prior to the resolution date, and to "Taylor Swift" if 'Taylor Swift' is searched more often than Kim Kardashian. If the average search ranks in the 'Integer over time' box are equal, this market will resolve 50-50.

This is a market on which American celebrity, Kim Kardashian or Taylor Swift, will have a higher average 7-day Google Trends rank for searches in The United States, as measured by Google Trends, on the resolution date, March 3, 2022 (12:00:00 PM ET). The resolution source for this market will be Google Trends data for the two search phrases' popularity, ‘Kim Kardashian' and ‘Taylor Swift’, as defined by searches executed by users in The United States averaged for the last 7 days. Specifically, the average for the last 7 days will be used, which is represented by the red and the blue bar in the 'Interest over time' box, and accessed in detail via the downloadable CSV file, both in the 'Interest over time' box at https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=now%207-d&geo=US&q=kim%20kardashian,taylor%20swift. Note that the integer-rounded averages will be used, as shown in the 'Interest over time' box. This market will resolve to "Kim Kardashian" if, according to the resolution source, ‘Kim Kardashian’ is searched more often than ‘Taylor Swift’ in the last 7 days prior to the resolution date, and to "Taylor Swift" if 'Taylor Swift' is searched more often than Kim Kardashian. If the average search ranks in the 'Integer over time' box are equal, this market will resolve 50-50.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Kim Kardashian or Taylor Swift have a higher Google Trends 7-day rank in the US on March 3?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Will Kim Kardashian or Taylor Swift have a higher Google Trends 7-day rank in the US on March 3?" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Kim Kardashian or Taylor Swift have a higher Google Trends 7-day rank in the US on March 3?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 23, 2022. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Kim Kardashian or Taylor Swift have a higher Google Trends 7-day rank in the US on March 3?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Kim Kardashian or Taylor Swift have a higher Google Trends 7-day rank in the US on March 3?" is "Will Kim Kardashian or Taylor Swift have a higher Google Trends 7-day rank in the US on March 3?" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Kim Kardashian or Taylor Swift have a higher Google Trends 7-day rank in the US on March 3?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.