Market icon
Tech·TikTok

Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?

Market icon
Tech·TikTok

Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$337,644 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$337,644 Vol.

The U.S. Supreme Court is hearing oral arguments on Thursday, as TikTok seeks to challenge, a law that would force the app to shut down in the United States by January 19 unless it severs ties with its Chinese parent company ByteDance (See: https://time.com/7205609/supreme-court-tiktok-arguments-ban/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States takes any action, such as issuing a ruling, order, or stay, that prevents or delays the enforcement of the federal law mandating TikTok’s sale or ban by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any official Supreme Court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks the implementation of the law’s January 19 deadline will qualify. If the law is enforced on or before January 19, 2025, without a qualifying action by the Supreme Court, this market will resolve to "No." If the Supreme Court does not take any action on the matter by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The U.S. Supreme Court is hearing oral arguments on Thursday, as TikTok seeks to challenge, a law that would force the app to shut down in the United States by January 19 unless it severs ties with its Chinese parent company ByteDance (See: https://time.com/7205609/supreme-court-tiktok-arguments-ban/)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States takes any action, such as issuing a ruling, order, or stay, that prevents or delays the enforcement of the federal law mandating TikTok’s sale or ban by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any official Supreme Court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks the implementation of the law’s January 19 deadline will qualify.

If the law is enforced on or before January 19, 2025, without a qualifying action by the Supreme Court, this market will resolve to "No."

If the Supreme Court does not take any action on the matter by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$337,644
End Date
Jan 19, 2025
Market Opened
Jan 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
The U.S. Supreme Court is hearing oral arguments on Thursday, as TikTok seeks to challenge, a law that would force the app to shut down in the United States by January 19 unless it severs ties with its Chinese parent company ByteDance (See: https://time.com/7205609/supreme-court-tiktok-arguments-ban/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States takes any action, such as issuing a ruling, order, or stay, that prevents or delays the enforcement of the federal law mandating TikTok’s sale or ban by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any official Supreme Court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks the implementation of the law’s January 19 deadline will qualify. If the law is enforced on or before January 19, 2025, without a qualifying action by the Supreme Court, this market will resolve to "No." If the Supreme Court does not take any action on the matter by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

The U.S. Supreme Court is hearing oral arguments on Thursday, as TikTok seeks to challenge, a law that would force the app to shut down in the United States by January 19 unless it severs ties with its Chinese parent company ByteDance (See: https://time.com/7205609/supreme-court-tiktok-arguments-ban/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States takes any action, such as issuing a ruling, order, or stay, that prevents or delays the enforcement of the federal law mandating TikTok’s sale or ban by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any official Supreme Court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks the implementation of the law’s January 19 deadline will qualify. If the law is enforced on or before January 19, 2025, without a qualifying action by the Supreme Court, this market will resolve to "No." If the Supreme Court does not take any action on the matter by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The U.S. Supreme Court is hearing oral arguments on Thursday, as TikTok seeks to challenge, a law that would force the app to shut down in the United States by January 19 unless it severs ties with its Chinese parent company ByteDance (See: https://time.com/7205609/supreme-court-tiktok-arguments-ban/)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States takes any action, such as issuing a ruling, order, or stay, that prevents or delays the enforcement of the federal law mandating TikTok’s sale or ban by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any official Supreme Court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks the implementation of the law’s January 19 deadline will qualify.

If the law is enforced on or before January 19, 2025, without a qualifying action by the Supreme Court, this market will resolve to "No."

If the Supreme Court does not take any action on the matter by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$337,644
End Date
Jan 19, 2025
Market Opened
Jan 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
The U.S. Supreme Court is hearing oral arguments on Thursday, as TikTok seeks to challenge, a law that would force the app to shut down in the United States by January 19 unless it severs ties with its Chinese parent company ByteDance (See: https://time.com/7205609/supreme-court-tiktok-arguments-ban/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States takes any action, such as issuing a ruling, order, or stay, that prevents or delays the enforcement of the federal law mandating TikTok’s sale or ban by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any official Supreme Court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks the implementation of the law’s January 19 deadline will qualify. If the law is enforced on or before January 19, 2025, without a qualifying action by the Supreme Court, this market will resolve to "No." If the Supreme Court does not take any action on the matter by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?" has generated $337.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.