Question 1

What is the "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  " prediction market?

Accepted Answer

"Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  " is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

Question 2

How much trading activity has "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  " generated on Polymarket?

Accepted Answer

As of today, "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  " has generated $44.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 28, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

Question 3

How do I trade on "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  "?

Accepted Answer

To trade on "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  ," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

Question 4

What are the current odds for "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  "?

Accepted Answer

The current probability for "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  " is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

Question 5

How will "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  " be resolved?

Accepted Answer

The resolution rules for "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Question 6

Can I follow "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  " without placing a trade?

Accepted Answer

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  ." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Question 7

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  " considered reliable?

Accepted Answer

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $44.5K traded on "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  ," these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket's prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

Question 8

How do I start trading on "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  "?

Accepted Answer

To place your first trade on "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  ," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

Question 9

What does a price of 0¢ for "Yes" mean?

Accepted Answer

On Polymarket, the price of "Yes" or "No" represents the market's implied probability. A "Yes" price of 0¢ for "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  " means traders collectively believe there is a 0% chance this event will happen. If you buy "Yes" at 0¢ and the event does happen, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 100¢ per share. If the event doesn't happen, those shares are worth $0.

Question 10

When does the "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  " market close?

Accepted Answer

The "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  " market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

Question 11

What are traders saying about "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  "?

Accepted Answer

The "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  " market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Question 12

What is Polymarket?

Accepted Answer

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?  ." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?

Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?

Related

Frequently Asked Questions

Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?

Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Related

Comments

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? " prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? " generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? "?

What are the current odds for "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? "?

How will "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? " be resolved?

Can I follow "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? " without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? " considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? "?

What does a price of 0¢ for "Yes" mean?

When does the "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? " market close?

What are traders saying about "Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? "?

What is Polymarket?