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Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2022 World Fischer Random Chess Championship?

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Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2022 World Fischer Random Chess Championship?

The FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship is an over-the-board chess tournament that is scheduled to take place in the Berjaya Reykjavik Natura Hotel in Iceland, from 25-30 October, 2022. The prize fund for the tournament is $400,000 USD. Eight players will compete for the $150,000 USD first prize and the title of FIDE Fischer Random World Champion. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Norwegian chess grandmaster Magnus Carlsen wins the 2022 World Fischer Random Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it can be definitively determined at any point that Magnus Carlsen will not be the winner of the Championship based on the rules of the tournament, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If for any reason the tournament is cancelled or rescheduled to a date after November 6, 2022, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website for the World Fischer Random Chess Championship (https://www.frchess.com/), however other credible sources may be used.

The FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship is an over-the-board chess tournament that is scheduled to take place in the Berjaya Reykjavik Natura Hotel in Iceland, from 25-30 October, 2022. The prize fund for the tournament is $400,000 USD. Eight players will compete for the $150,000 USD first prize and the title of FIDE Fischer Random World Champion. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Norwegian chess grandmaster Magnus Carlsen wins the 2022 World Fischer Random Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it can be definitively determined at any point that Magnus Carlsen will not be the winner of the Championship based on the rules of the tournament, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If for any reason the tournament is cancelled or rescheduled to a date after November 6, 2022, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website for the World Fischer Random Chess Championship (https://www.frchess.com/), however other credible sources may be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2022 World Fischer Random Chess Championship?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2022 World Fischer Random Chess Championship?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Oct 21, 2022. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2022 World Fischer Random Chess Championship?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2022 World Fischer Random Chess Championship?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2022 World Fischer Random Chess Championship?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.