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Will Lindsey Graham vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court by December 31, 2022?

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Will Lindsey Graham vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court by December 31, 2022?

This market asks whether United States Senator Lindsey Graham will vote in favor of confirming Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) by December 31, 2022.

If Lindsey Graham votes in favor of confirming Ketanji Brown Jackson to the SCOTUS by December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Outcomes of committee votes, hearings, reports, cloture votes, or other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market only concerns the first such Senate confirmation vote for Ketanji Brown Jackson to the SCOTUS. If Lindsey Graham does not vote, or does not have a vote in favor, the market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source is the official vote tally reported by the United States Senate (https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations/SupremeCourtNominations1789present.htm), however other credible reporting may also be used. Once the vote has been closed and the result of the vote announced, any request by any senator to add, remove, or alter a vote will not be considered in the resolution of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the primary resolution source or any other source.
Volume
$12,205
End Date
Dec 31, 2022
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
This market asks whether United States Senator Lindsey Graham will vote in favor of confirming Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) by December 31, 2022. If Lindsey Graham votes in favor of confirming Ketanji Brown Jackson to the SCOTUS by December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Outcomes of committee votes, hearings, reports, cloture votes, or other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market only concerns the first such Senate confirmation vote for Ketanji Brown Jackson to the SCOTUS. If Lindsey Graham does not vote, or does not have a vote in favor, the market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source is the official vote tally reported by the United States Senate (https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations/SupremeCourtNominations1789present.htm), however other credible reporting may also be used. Once the vote has been closed and the result of the vote announced, any request by any senator to add, remove, or alter a vote will not be considered in the resolution of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the primary resolution source or any other source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market asks whether United States Senator Lindsey Graham will vote in favor of confirming Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) by December 31, 2022.

If Lindsey Graham votes in favor of confirming Ketanji Brown Jackson to the SCOTUS by December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Outcomes of committee votes, hearings, reports, cloture votes, or other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market only concerns the first such Senate confirmation vote for Ketanji Brown Jackson to the SCOTUS. If Lindsey Graham does not vote, or does not have a vote in favor, the market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source is the official vote tally reported by the United States Senate (https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations/SupremeCourtNominations1789present.htm), however other credible reporting may also be used. Once the vote has been closed and the result of the vote announced, any request by any senator to add, remove, or alter a vote will not be considered in the resolution of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the primary resolution source or any other source.
Volume
$12,205
End Date
Dec 31, 2022
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
This market asks whether United States Senator Lindsey Graham will vote in favor of confirming Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) by December 31, 2022. If Lindsey Graham votes in favor of confirming Ketanji Brown Jackson to the SCOTUS by December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Outcomes of committee votes, hearings, reports, cloture votes, or other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market only concerns the first such Senate confirmation vote for Ketanji Brown Jackson to the SCOTUS. If Lindsey Graham does not vote, or does not have a vote in favor, the market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source is the official vote tally reported by the United States Senate (https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations/SupremeCourtNominations1789present.htm), however other credible reporting may also be used. Once the vote has been closed and the result of the vote announced, any request by any senator to add, remove, or alter a vote will not be considered in the resolution of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the primary resolution source or any other source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Lindsey Graham vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court by December 31, 2022?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Lindsey Graham vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court by December 31, 2022?" has generated $12.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 21, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Lindsey Graham vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court by December 31, 2022?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Lindsey Graham vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court by December 31, 2022?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Lindsey Graham vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court by December 31, 2022?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.