Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and Twitter could not.

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Middle East

$52,915 Bet

Expires Nov 30, 2023

Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?

Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces a humanitarian pause of at least 24 consecutive hours between November 12 and 30, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a humanitarian pause is defined as "A temporary pause in the fighting for a short period for humanitarian purposes, one that may be designed to allow people to leave a conflict area, repairs to be made, or bring in humanitarian relief or other supplies, etc."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary Israel announces a 24h+ humanitarian pause will take place, regardless of whether it actually occurs.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


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Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes


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Outcome: Yes