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Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election?

Market icon

Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election?

This market asks which candidate will win the South Korean presidential election scheduled to take place on March 9, 2022. If Lee Jae-myung is elected president of South Korea in 2022, this market will resolve to “Lee Jae-myung”. If Yoon Seok-youl is elected to president of South Korea in 2022, this market will resolve to “Yoon Seok-youl”. If for any reason neither Lee Jae-myung nor Yoon Seok-youl are elected president, this market will resolve to 50-50.  This market will resolve on the earliest date that there is a definitive winner of the 2022 South Korean presidential election. The main resolution source will be official announcements by the government of the Republic of Korea (https://english.president.go.kr/, https://www.nec.go.kr/site/eng/main.do, https://twitter.com/TheBlueHouseENG, etc.) but credible media sources will also suffice. If a definitive winner of the 2022 South Korean presidential election is not determined by July 1, 2022, 12:00:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

This market asks which candidate will win the South Korean presidential election scheduled to take place on March 9, 2022. If Lee Jae-myung is elected president of South Korea in 2022, this market will resolve to “Lee Jae-myung”. If Yoon Seok-youl is elected to president of South Korea in 2022, this market will resolve to “Yoon Seok-youl”. If for any reason neither Lee Jae-myung nor Yoon Seok-youl are elected president, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

This market will resolve on the earliest date that there is a definitive winner of the 2022 South Korean presidential election. The main resolution source will be official announcements by the government of the Republic of Korea (https://english.president.go.kr/, https://www.nec.go.kr/site/eng/main.do, https://twitter.com/TheBlueHouseENG, etc.) but credible media sources will also suffice. If a definitive winner of the 2022 South Korean presidential election is not determined by July 1, 2022, 12:00:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Volume
$36,633
End Date
Mar 9, 2022
Market Opened
Feb 14, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
This market asks which candidate will win the South Korean presidential election scheduled to take place on March 9, 2022. If Lee Jae-myung is elected president of South Korea in 2022, this market will resolve to “Lee Jae-myung”. If Yoon Seok-youl is elected to president of South Korea in 2022, this market will resolve to “Yoon Seok-youl”. If for any reason neither Lee Jae-myung nor Yoon Seok-youl are elected president, this market will resolve to 50-50.  This market will resolve on the earliest date that there is a definitive winner of the 2022 South Korean presidential election. The main resolution source will be official announcements by the government of the Republic of Korea (https://english.president.go.kr/, https://www.nec.go.kr/site/eng/main.do, https://twitter.com/TheBlueHouseENG, etc.) but credible media sources will also suffice. If a definitive winner of the 2022 South Korean presidential election is not determined by July 1, 2022, 12:00:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

Outcome proposed: Yoon Seok-youl

No dispute

Final outcome: Yoon Seok-youl

This market asks which candidate will win the South Korean presidential election scheduled to take place on March 9, 2022. If Lee Jae-myung is elected president of South Korea in 2022, this market will resolve to “Lee Jae-myung”. If Yoon Seok-youl is elected to president of South Korea in 2022, this market will resolve to “Yoon Seok-youl”. If for any reason neither Lee Jae-myung nor Yoon Seok-youl are elected president, this market will resolve to 50-50.  This market will resolve on the earliest date that there is a definitive winner of the 2022 South Korean presidential election. The main resolution source will be official announcements by the government of the Republic of Korea (https://english.president.go.kr/, https://www.nec.go.kr/site/eng/main.do, https://twitter.com/TheBlueHouseENG, etc.) but credible media sources will also suffice. If a definitive winner of the 2022 South Korean presidential election is not determined by July 1, 2022, 12:00:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

This market asks which candidate will win the South Korean presidential election scheduled to take place on March 9, 2022. If Lee Jae-myung is elected president of South Korea in 2022, this market will resolve to “Lee Jae-myung”. If Yoon Seok-youl is elected to president of South Korea in 2022, this market will resolve to “Yoon Seok-youl”. If for any reason neither Lee Jae-myung nor Yoon Seok-youl are elected president, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

This market will resolve on the earliest date that there is a definitive winner of the 2022 South Korean presidential election. The main resolution source will be official announcements by the government of the Republic of Korea (https://english.president.go.kr/, https://www.nec.go.kr/site/eng/main.do, https://twitter.com/TheBlueHouseENG, etc.) but credible media sources will also suffice. If a definitive winner of the 2022 South Korean presidential election is not determined by July 1, 2022, 12:00:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Volume
$36,633
End Date
Mar 9, 2022
Market Opened
Feb 14, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
This market asks which candidate will win the South Korean presidential election scheduled to take place on March 9, 2022. If Lee Jae-myung is elected president of South Korea in 2022, this market will resolve to “Lee Jae-myung”. If Yoon Seok-youl is elected to president of South Korea in 2022, this market will resolve to “Yoon Seok-youl”. If for any reason neither Lee Jae-myung nor Yoon Seok-youl are elected president, this market will resolve to 50-50.  This market will resolve on the earliest date that there is a definitive winner of the 2022 South Korean presidential election. The main resolution source will be official announcements by the government of the Republic of Korea (https://english.president.go.kr/, https://www.nec.go.kr/site/eng/main.do, https://twitter.com/TheBlueHouseENG, etc.) but credible media sources will also suffice. If a definitive winner of the 2022 South Korean presidential election is not determined by July 1, 2022, 12:00:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

Outcome proposed: Yoon Seok-youl

No dispute

Final outcome: Yoon Seok-youl

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election?" has generated $36.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 15, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election?" is "Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.