Market icon

Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod?

Market icon

Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod?

Do Kwon

0% chance
Polymarket

$50,928 Vol.

Do Kwon

0% chance
Polymarket

$50,928 Vol.

On March 14, 2022, Do Kwon (@stablekwon) and Sensei Algod (@AlgodTrading) made a bet on whether the price of Terra (LUNA) would be lower on March 14, 2023 than it was on March 14, 2022.

Each party put up 1 million, to an escrow wallet owned by @cobie. Do Kwon bet LUNA would be $92.40 or higher on March 14, 2023, and Sensei Algod bet LUNA would be lower than $92.40.

This market will resolve to “Do Kwon” if Do Kwon wins the bet, or “Sensei Algod” if Sensei Algod wins the bet.

If for whatever reason the winner of the bet isn’t decided by April 1, 2023, or is ambiguous (e.g. the result isn't agreed to by both parties and @cobie), LUNA’s 24h average price on March 14, 2023, ET will be checked. If it is 92.40$ or above, the market will resolve to “Do Kwon”, otherwise it will resolve to “Sensei Algod”.

The 24h price will be calculated from Coingecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/terra-luna), by averaging the close price of all forty-eight 30 minute candles for the timeframe March 14 12:00:00 AM ET to March 15 12:00:00 AM ET. If Coingecko’s relevant candles are unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Volume
$50,928
End Date
Mar 14, 2023
Market Opened
Mar 14, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
On March 14, 2022, Do Kwon (@stablekwon) and Sensei Algod (@AlgodTrading) made a bet on whether the price of Terra (LUNA) would be lower on March 14, 2023 than it was on March 14, 2022. Each party put up 1 million, to an escrow wallet owned by @cobie. Do Kwon bet LUNA would be $92.40 or higher on March 14, 2023, and Sensei Algod bet LUNA would be lower than $92.40. This market will resolve to “Do Kwon” if Do Kwon wins the bet, or “Sensei Algod” if Sensei Algod wins the bet. If for whatever reason the winner of the bet isn’t decided by April 1, 2023, or is ambiguous (e.g. the result isn't agreed to by both parties and @cobie), LUNA’s 24h average price on March 14, 2023, ET will be checked. If it is 92.40$ or above, the market will resolve to “Do Kwon”, otherwise it will resolve to “Sensei Algod”. The 24h price will be calculated from Coingecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/terra-luna), by averaging the close price of all forty-eight 30 minute candles for the timeframe March 14 12:00:00 AM ET to March 15 12:00:00 AM ET. If Coingecko’s relevant candles are unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Outcome proposed: Sensei Algod

No dispute

Final outcome: Sensei Algod

On March 14, 2022, Do Kwon (@stablekwon) and Sensei Algod (@AlgodTrading) made a bet on whether the price of Terra (LUNA) would be lower on March 14, 2023 than it was on March 14, 2022.

Each party put up 1 million, to an escrow wallet owned by @cobie. Do Kwon bet LUNA would be $92.40 or higher on March 14, 2023, and Sensei Algod bet LUNA would be lower than $92.40.

This market will resolve to “Do Kwon” if Do Kwon wins the bet, or “Sensei Algod” if Sensei Algod wins the bet.

If for whatever reason the winner of the bet isn’t decided by April 1, 2023, or is ambiguous (e.g. the result isn't agreed to by both parties and @cobie), LUNA’s 24h average price on March 14, 2023, ET will be checked. If it is 92.40$ or above, the market will resolve to “Do Kwon”, otherwise it will resolve to “Sensei Algod”.

The 24h price will be calculated from Coingecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/terra-luna), by averaging the close price of all forty-eight 30 minute candles for the timeframe March 14 12:00:00 AM ET to March 15 12:00:00 AM ET. If Coingecko’s relevant candles are unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Volume
$50,928
End Date
Mar 14, 2023
Market Opened
Mar 14, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
On March 14, 2022, Do Kwon (@stablekwon) and Sensei Algod (@AlgodTrading) made a bet on whether the price of Terra (LUNA) would be lower on March 14, 2023 than it was on March 14, 2022. Each party put up 1 million, to an escrow wallet owned by @cobie. Do Kwon bet LUNA would be $92.40 or higher on March 14, 2023, and Sensei Algod bet LUNA would be lower than $92.40. This market will resolve to “Do Kwon” if Do Kwon wins the bet, or “Sensei Algod” if Sensei Algod wins the bet. If for whatever reason the winner of the bet isn’t decided by April 1, 2023, or is ambiguous (e.g. the result isn't agreed to by both parties and @cobie), LUNA’s 24h average price on March 14, 2023, ET will be checked. If it is 92.40$ or above, the market will resolve to “Do Kwon”, otherwise it will resolve to “Sensei Algod”. The 24h price will be calculated from Coingecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/terra-luna), by averaging the close price of all forty-eight 30 minute candles for the timeframe March 14 12:00:00 AM ET to March 15 12:00:00 AM ET. If Coingecko’s relevant candles are unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Outcome proposed: Sensei Algod

No dispute

Final outcome: Sensei Algod

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod?" has generated $50.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 15, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod?" is "Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.