Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$80,460,864 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 61%

Kevin Warsh 21%

Christopher Waller 10.5%

Rick Rieder 3.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$80,460,864
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$80,460,864 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 61%

Kevin Warsh 21%

Christopher Waller 10.5%

Rick Rieder 3.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$5,398,598 Vol.

61%

Kevin Warsh

$2,220,011 Vol.

21%

Christopher Waller

$2,313,529 Vol.

11%

Rick Rieder

$1,598,330 Vol.

4%

Michelle Bowman

$1,851,126 Vol.

2%

Scott Bessent

$1,924,634 Vol.

1%

Judy Shelton

$1,798,771 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,444,422 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,843,825 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,514,563 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$804,618 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$749,681 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$837,596 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,493,836 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$682,424 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,634,088 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,251,172 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,306,292 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,252,374 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,357,423 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,493,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$14,491,142 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$784,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$275,434 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,134,112 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$80,460,864
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.