Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$99,463,600 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 42%

Kevin Warsh 33%

Christopher Waller 14.8%

Rick Rieder 4.4%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$99,463,600
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$99,463,600 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 42%

Kevin Warsh 33%

Christopher Waller 14.8%

Rick Rieder 4.4%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$6,938,766 Vol.

42%

Kevin Warsh

$3,167,563 Vol.

33%

Christopher Waller

$2,777,976 Vol.

15%

Rick Rieder

$1,941,405 Vol.

4%

Michelle Bowman

$2,260,529 Vol.

3%

Judy Shelton

$2,638,911 Vol.

2%

Scott Bessent

$2,565,477 Vol.

2%

Stephen Miran

$2,297,613 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,682,762 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$2,056,855 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,469,993 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$1,051,449 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,641,269 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$1,021,309 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$1,307,809 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$8,657,866 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,507,779 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$2,109,385 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,519,589 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,428,976 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$2,114,028 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$19,056,018 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$1,653,604 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$1,418,005 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,173,712 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$99,463,600
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.