Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$79,745,302 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 63%

Kevin Warsh 21%

Christopher Waller 9.0%

Rick Rieder 4.1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$79,745,302
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$79,745,302 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 63%

Kevin Warsh 21%

Christopher Waller 9.0%

Rick Rieder 4.1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$5,273,080 Vol.

63%

Kevin Warsh

$2,158,744 Vol.

21%

Christopher Waller

$2,241,447 Vol.

9%

Rick Rieder

$1,548,825 Vol.

4%

Scott Bessent

$1,853,162 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$1,793,817 Vol.

1%

Judy Shelton

$1,742,782 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,403,045 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,801,793 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,468,846 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$761,831 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,493,836 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$822,765 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$682,424 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,609,088 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,251,172 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,306,292 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,252,374 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,357,423 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,493,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$14,491,142 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$784,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$275,434 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,134,112 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$739,849 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$79,745,302
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.