Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$79,761,027 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 62%

Kevin Warsh 22%

Christopher Waller 8.8%

Rick Rieder 4.2%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$79,761,027
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$79,761,027 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 62%

Kevin Warsh 22%

Christopher Waller 8.8%

Rick Rieder 4.2%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$5,279,449 Vol.

62%

Kevin Warsh

$2,159,998 Vol.

22%

Christopher Waller

$2,242,557 Vol.

9%

Rick Rieder

$1,549,520 Vol.

4%

Scott Bessent

$1,854,968 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$1,794,507 Vol.

1%

Judy Shelton

$1,743,472 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$1,403,735 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,802,483 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,469,536 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$762,521 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,493,836 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$822,765 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$682,424 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,609,088 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,251,172 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,306,292 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,252,374 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,357,423 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,493,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$14,491,142 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$784,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$275,434 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,134,112 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$739,849 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$79,761,027
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.