Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$80,960,253 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 56%

Kevin Warsh 22%

Christopher Waller 12.4%

Rick Rieder 3.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$80,960,253
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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$80,960,253 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 56%

Kevin Warsh 22%

Christopher Waller 12.4%

Rick Rieder 3.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$5,527,596 Vol.

56%

Kevin Warsh

$2,243,107 Vol.

22%

Christopher Waller

$2,327,447 Vol.

12%

Rick Rieder

$1,600,384 Vol.

4%

Scott Bessent

$1,931,912 Vol.

2%

Judy Shelton

$1,799,546 Vol.

1%

Michelle Bowman

$1,899,993 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,444,997 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,844,377 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,517,023 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$808,923 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$837,596 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$751,174 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,493,836 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$682,424 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,634,088 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,251,172 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,306,292 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,535,205 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,357,423 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,493,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$14,492,142 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$784,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$275,434 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,134,112 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$80,960,253
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.