Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$79,698,121 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 62%

Kevin Warsh 22%

Christopher Waller 9.3%

Rick Rieder 4.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$79,698,121
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$79,698,121 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 62%

Kevin Warsh 22%

Christopher Waller 9.3%

Rick Rieder 4.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$5,266,191 Vol.

62%

Kevin Warsh

$2,156,799 Vol.

22%

Christopher Waller

$2,239,367 Vol.

9%

Rick Rieder

$1,547,595 Vol.

4%

Scott Bessent

$1,825,244 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$1,792,697 Vol.

1%

Judy Shelton

$1,741,662 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,401,925 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,800,673 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,467,576 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$760,618 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,493,836 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$822,765 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$682,424 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,609,088 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,251,172 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,306,292 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,252,374 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,357,423 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,493,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$14,491,142 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$784,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$275,434 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,134,112 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$739,849 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$79,698,121
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.