Trader consensus heavily favors bantamweight champion Petr Yan rematching former titleholder Merab Dvalishvili next at 80.5% implied probability, driven by recent confirmations of their trilogy bout targeting a mid-summer numbered card like UFC 331. Yan reclaimed the belt via unanimous decision over Dvalishvili in their UFC 323 rematch on December 6, 2025, prompting UFC assurances of an immediate shot for the Georgian contender, now ranked No. 2. Yan's recovery from January back surgery has progressed rapidly, with training footage and interviews signaling readiness for June-August, including a teased Dana White announcement. Umar Nurmagomedov (8.1%) gains traction as a surging unbeaten contender, while Sean O'Malley (6.8%) lingers on rivalry history, though stylistic rematch dynamics with Dvalishvili dominate sentiment amid Yan's title defense path.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMerab Dvalishvili 82%
Sean O’Malley 8.8%
Umar Nurmagomedov 8.1%
Payton Talbott 1.4%
$187,872 Vol.
$187,872 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
82%
Sean O’Malley
9%
Umar Nurmagomedov
8%
Payton Talbott
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Rob Font
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Dominick Cruz
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Merab Dvalishvili 82%
Sean O’Malley 8.8%
Umar Nurmagomedov 8.1%
Payton Talbott 1.4%
$187,872 Vol.
$187,872 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
82%
Sean O’Malley
9%
Umar Nurmagomedov
8%
Payton Talbott
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Rob Font
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Dominick Cruz
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors bantamweight champion Petr Yan rematching former titleholder Merab Dvalishvili next at 80.5% implied probability, driven by recent confirmations of their trilogy bout targeting a mid-summer numbered card like UFC 331. Yan reclaimed the belt via unanimous decision over Dvalishvili in their UFC 323 rematch on December 6, 2025, prompting UFC assurances of an immediate shot for the Georgian contender, now ranked No. 2. Yan's recovery from January back surgery has progressed rapidly, with training footage and interviews signaling readiness for June-August, including a teased Dana White announcement. Umar Nurmagomedov (8.1%) gains traction as a surging unbeaten contender, while Sean O'Malley (6.8%) lingers on rivalry history, though stylistic rematch dynamics with Dvalishvili dominate sentiment amid Yan's title defense path.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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