Trader consensus heavily favors Benoît Saint Denis as Paddy Pimblett's next lightweight opponent at 61.5% implied probability, driven by Pimblett's February callout for an all-European clash post his unanimous decision loss to Justin Gaethje for the interim title at UFC 324, alongside reports targeting the matchup for UFC International Fight Week on July 11. Dan Hooker's 26.5% share stems from their escalating personal feud, including post-UFC 325 trash talk where Pimblett mocked Hooker's loss. Mateusz Gamrot at 10.5% reflects his No. 7 ranking and grappling stylistic matchup appealing for Pimblett's rebound, while lower probabilities for Fiziev, McGregor, and Tsarukyan signal slim paths amid injury recoveries and title pursuits. Recent interviews confirm Pimblett's fight date but no official announcement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBenoît Saint Denis 72%
Dan Hooker 27%
Mateusz Gamrot 10.5%
Arman Tsarukyan <1%
$50,093 Vol.
$50,093 Vol.
Jan 1, 2027
Benoît Saint Denis
72%
Dan Hooker
27%
Mateusz Gamrot
11%
Arman Tsarukyan
1%
Rafael Fiziev
1%
Conor McGregor
1%
Benoît Saint Denis 72%
Dan Hooker 27%
Mateusz Gamrot 10.5%
Arman Tsarukyan <1%
$50,093 Vol.
$50,093 Vol.
Jan 1, 2027
Benoît Saint Denis
$27,261 Vol.
72%
Dan Hooker
$2,847 Vol.
27%
Mateusz Gamrot
$1,594 Vol.
11%
Arman Tsarukyan
$6,745 Vol.
1%
Rafael Fiziev
$938 Vol.
1%
Conor McGregor
$10,709 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Pimblett is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).Trader consensus heavily favors Benoît Saint Denis as Paddy Pimblett's next lightweight opponent at 61.5% implied probability, driven by Pimblett's February callout for an all-European clash post his unanimous decision loss to Justin Gaethje for the interim title at UFC 324, alongside reports targeting the matchup for UFC International Fight Week on July 11. Dan Hooker's 26.5% share stems from their escalating personal feud, including post-UFC 325 trash talk where Pimblett mocked Hooker's loss. Mateusz Gamrot at 10.5% reflects his No. 7 ranking and grappling stylistic matchup appealing for Pimblett's rebound, while lower probabilities for Fiziev, McGregor, and Tsarukyan signal slim paths amid injury recoveries and title pursuits. Recent interviews confirm Pimblett's fight date but no official announcement.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Pimblett is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Pimblett is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Feb 2, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Volume
$50,093End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Pimblett is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).Trader consensus heavily favors Benoît Saint Denis as Paddy Pimblett's next lightweight opponent at 61.5% implied probability, driven by Pimblett's February callout for an all-European clash post his unanimous decision loss to Justin Gaethje for the interim title at UFC 324, alongside reports targeting the matchup for UFC International Fight Week on July 11. Dan Hooker's 26.5% share stems from their escalating personal feud, including post-UFC 325 trash talk where Pimblett mocked Hooker's loss. Mateusz Gamrot at 10.5% reflects his No. 7 ranking and grappling stylistic matchup appealing for Pimblett's rebound, while lower probabilities for Fiziev, McGregor, and Tsarukyan signal slim paths amid injury recoveries and title pursuits. Recent interviews confirm Pimblett's fight date but no official announcement.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Pimblett is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Pimblett is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Volume
$50,093End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Benoît Saint Denis as Paddy Pimblett's next lightweight opponent at 61.5% implied probability, driven by Pimblett's February callout for an all-European clash post his unanimous decision loss to Justin Gaethje for the interim title at UFC 324, alongside reports targeting the matchup for UFC International Fight Week on July 11. Dan Hooker's 26.5% share stems from their escalating personal feud, including post-UFC 325 trash talk where Pimblett mocked Hooker's loss. Mateusz Gamrot at 10.5% reflects his No. 7 ranking and grappling stylistic matchup appealing for Pimblett's rebound, while lower probabilities for Fiziev, McGregor, and Tsarukyan signal slim paths amid injury recoveries and title pursuits. Recent interviews confirm Pimblett's fight date but no official announcement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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